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<?xml-stylesheet href="http://xml.fxstreet.com/styles/rss2.xsl" type="text/xsl" media="screen"?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://xml.fxstreet.com/styles/itemcontent.css" type="text/css" media="screen"?><rss version="2.0" xml:base="c:/fxstreet/support-files/english/rss/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/index.xml"><channel><title>The Bond Bulletin</title><description /><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/</link><image><title>Fundamental Analysis</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/</link><url>http://mediaserver.fxstreet.com/images/fxstreet-provider-logo1-en.gif</url></image><ttl>7</ttl><item><title>Quietly lower but 30-year bond auction on tap</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-02-09.html</link><description>February 8, 2012 The following newsletter is an example of what is provided to DeCarley Trading's clients. This was sent out on 02/08/12. Would this have been helpful to you? Trade is painfully quiet. It is almost as if traders took off for the holidays and never came back. Thus far this week's auctions have been a tad disappointing, but the ever volatile 30-year bond issuance will take place tomorrow. Unlike earlier in the week in which traders appeared to have lofty expectations, the bar</description><pubDate>Thu, 09 Feb 2012 19:04:21 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-02-09.html</guid></item><item><title>Was bond pullback a top, or a reload?</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-02-02.html</link><description>Visit DeCarley Trading's website to sign up for our next Free trading webinar...FOREX Trading Math! Up to 50% off of Carley Garner's books at BN.com, use promo code G2C3DJDYC9867 (mystery discount taken upon check out on one item) There is no doubt that Treasuries are overvalued from a long-term perspective, but in the short run there is no measure of just how irrational investor behavior can become. Remember the negative yields for bills in 2008? Accordingly, bears shouldn't complacently</description><pubDate>Thu, 02 Feb 2012 21:28:47 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-02-02.html</guid></item><item><title>QE or not QE </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-26.html</link><description>January 25, 2012 Visit DeCarley's website to sign up for our next Free trading webinar...FOREX Trading Math! It has been a rather wild day, so we'll keep this short and sweet. The Fed didn't announce another round of quantitative easing but they might as well have...pledges to keep rates ridiculously low at least until late 2014 triggered a massive short covering rally in Treasuries across the board. Although, it was the shorter end of the curve that saw the most squeezing action, the 30-year</description><pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 14:25:19 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-26.html</guid></item><item><title>Follow through buying next week in Treasuries? </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-15.html</link><description>Read Carley's latest Stocks &amp;amp; Commodities Magazine column on the realities of the forbidden word (commission). News of more credit rating downgrades plagued risky assets and gave investors a reason to put money back into the safe-haven of Treasury securities. Although bonds and notes were up measurably on the session, we could have easily seen much more panic. Not because the ratings cut was a surprise, but because of the timing of the announcement (ahead of a three day weekend in the</description><pubDate>Sun, 15 Jan 2012 19:58:36 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-15.html</guid></item><item><title>It's all about jobs for Treasury traders</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-05.html</link><description>See Part 2 of our discussion on the COT Report in Stocks &amp;amp; Commodities Magazine "Futures for You" column Say what you want about Warren Buffet, but there are two facts that can't be argued: 1. He has made more money in his lifetime than most (or all?) of his critics combined. 2. The man has a great sense of humor. I've quoted him countless times throughout my books and newsletters and it never gets old (at least to me it doesn't). I thought you might enjoy this, I know I did (he is the one</description><pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2012 22:26:37 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-05.html</guid></item><item><title>Bonds and notes in holding pattern </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-04.v02.html</link><description>January 4, 2012 See Part 2 of our discussion on the COT Report in Stocks &amp;amp; Commodities Magazine "Futures for You column". Treasury traders had little news to chew on today and external factors (such as aftermarket relationships with equities and commodities) offered even less help. Nonetheless, traders chose to allow yesterday's data and events to guide trade and that meant lower prices (higher yields). Economic data in the U.S. has been consistently improving in recent weeks, and when</description><pubDate>Wed, 04 Jan 2012 22:22:54 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-04.v02.html</guid></item><item><title>The DeCarley Perspective...Oil's slippery slope</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-04.html</link><description>Thank you for choosing DeCarley Trading. We are proud to offer the DeCarley Perspective as an informational guide to our clients and subscribers. We hope that you walk away from the newsletter with a better understanding of market fundamentals, as well as technical and seasonal factors. **There is substantial risk of loss in trading futures and options. **Past performance is not indicative of future results On the radar: &amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp; •Oil's slippery slope Crude Oil In a DeCarley Perspective</description><pubDate>Wed, 04 Jan 2012 19:47:33 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2012-01-04.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasuries finally break higher...145ish? </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-12-13.html</link><description>See me monthly in Stocks and Commodities Magazine. Look for my column "Futures for You" Treasury bonds and notes spent much of the previous two weeks stuck in a rut. However, a better than expected Treasury auction and a shaky stock market seem to have finally opened the door for the rally we have been looking for...but the question remains as to whether it will meet our expectations or fall flat of technical objectives. Bonds and notes traded in the red for much of the morning; we can credit</description><pubDate>Tue, 13 Dec 2011 23:13:22 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-12-13.html</guid></item><item><title>Overnight Treasury gains erased </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-11-15.html</link><description>Visit our website to view the DeCarley Trading webinar vault! Higher European yields and lower global equity markets promoted safety buying in U.S. Treasury futures during overnight trade. However, the bulls ran out of gas as the day progressed amidst good economic data and a recovery in the Euro currency. Inflation at the producer level was reported to be tamer than expected while retail sales was better than expected. This combination in itself had little impact on trade simply because the</description><pubDate>Tue, 15 Nov 2011 22:12:56 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-11-15.html</guid></item><item><title>Overnight highs missed our target, was that it?</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-11-03.html</link><description>Visit the our website to view the DeCarley Trading webinar vault! The day's news was bearish, equities traded dramatically higher and a majority of the shorts had been squeezed out of Treasuries...the bottom line is there was nobody left to buy. As a result, Treasuries settled swiftly lower on the day and considerably beneath their overnight highs. In overnight trade, the 30-year bond briefly touched above 143 and the December 10-year note at 130'29. We were anticipating a move such as that to</description><pubDate>Thu, 03 Nov 2011 23:23:58 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-11-03.html</guid></item><item><title>Seasonals suggest Treasury futures dip was a "buy" </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-10-31.html</link><description>Visit the DeCarley Trading webinarvault ! &amp;nbsp; If you have been following this report over the past week or two, you know we hadbeen (annoyingly) repetitively noting the possibility of a round of sell stoprunning that would put the 30-year bond just under 136 and the 10-year notenear 127.&amp;nbsp; Finally, after weeks of sideways trade the market seems to haveflushed out the week longs and could be headed into higher territory (loweryields).&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp; Werealize that predicting lower yields</description><pubDate>Mon, 31 Oct 2011 14:48:31 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-10-31.html</guid></item><item><title>Fed Speaks, European Banter, Greek Riots, EU Summit...Treasury traders held captive!</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-10-20.html</link><description>Sign up for our next FREE webinar with PFGBEST, "Decoding the COT Report", click here! Bonds and note traders have had a difficult time picking a direction as of late...and who could blame them? There are a seemingly unlimited number of uncertainties, with this weekend's European summit at the forefront. There were multiple "rumors" (we lost count) throughout the session suggesting that the EU meeting would be postponed; each instance triggered immediate equity market selling and Treasury</description><pubDate>Thu, 20 Oct 2011 22:03:40 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-10-20.html</guid></item><item><title>Seasonals say buy 'em </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-10-14.html</link><description>Sign up for our next FREE webinar with PFGBEST, "Decoding the COT Report", by visiting DeCarley Trading website! High flying equities and optimistic economic data helped to push yields higher and Treasuries lower on Friday. Although the week tends to end with counter trend moves, each of the financial markets experienced price changes in the direction of recent trade. There could be many explanations for this, but the incredibly light volume leads us to believe the buying in stocks and selling</description><pubDate>Fri, 14 Oct 2011 21:42:16 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-10-14.html</guid></item><item><title>Bond bulls take charge </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-09-22.html</link><description>See you at the Futures and FOREX Expo in Las Vegas! Don't forget the book signing Friday at 5 pm at the Traders Press booth With the Fed on the buy side of longer dated maturities, few traders are willing to get in the way of what looks to be a runaway train. Nonetheless, I think we can all agree bonds in the mid-140's is probably based on "what might" happen rather than "what is" happening. That said, the first rule in trading is to accept that the only thing that matters is what the market is</description><pubDate>Thu, 22 Sep 2011 23:13:01 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-09-22.html</guid></item><item><title>Long-term bearish Treasuries, but short-term uncertain </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-09-15.html</link><description>DeCarley is social...LIKE us on Facebook and Follow us on Twitter! There are plenty of reasons as to why traders should be bearish Treasuries but the most glaring being nearly non-existent interest rates and stabilizing currency and equity markets. Nonetheless, Treasury seasonals suggest the market could avoid any large selling until much later this fall. Also, although recent economic data has been better than the previous month's it is still generally below expectations and quite frankly,</description><pubDate>Thu, 15 Sep 2011 21:48:16 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-09-15.html</guid></item><item><title>Jobs fall flat, Bond futures roar</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-09-03.html</link><description>FREE Registration for the Futures and FOREX Expo in Las Vegas September 22nd through 24th. DeCarley's Carley Garner will be speaking on currency trading and hosting a book signing at the Futures Press booth! Jobs fall flat, Bond futures roar We had a feeling that last week's consolidation was simply the calm before the storm, and it seems that is exactly the case. Sir Isaac Newton once said, "I can calculate the movement of stars but not the madness of men" and I think this applies to the</description><pubDate>Sat, 03 Sep 2011 19:52:26 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-09-03.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasury futures move higher on options expiration </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-08-26.html</link><description>August 26, 2011 FREE Registration for the Futures and FOREX Expo in Las Vegas September 22nd through 24th. DeCarley's Carley Garner will be speaking on currency trading and hosting a book signing at the Futures Press booth! Treasury futures move higher on options expiration In today's world, bad news is good news...as long as it isn't "fall of the cliff" type of bad news. Many seemed to sigh in relief this morning on news that the GDP was revised lower to 1.0%. Six months ago this would have</description><pubDate>Fri, 26 Aug 2011 22:18:36 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-08-26.html</guid></item><item><title>Bearish activity in Treasury futures options! </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-08-19.html</link><description>Get social with DeCarley Trading, LIKE us on facebook and follow us on Twitter! There weren't any economic releases to guide trade, so it was all about Europe. Unfortunately, the Euro zone seems to have moved from a state of fear to a state of panic and once the global cycle of volatility gets started, it is difficult to turn the momentum around. European shares were down 2 to 4% for most of their session, triggering another wave of safe-haven buying. The long end of the Treasury curve, and</description><pubDate>Fri, 19 Aug 2011 21:11:05 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-08-19.html</guid></item><item><title>Default unlikely, embarrassment likely </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-07-28.html</link><description>Christmas in July!!! The Kindle version of A Trader's First Book on Commodities is on sale for only $2.99, click here!! Despite articles on popular business news websites regarding new interest in Treasury Credit Default Swaps (traders buying insurance against Treasury default).; the markets have voted, and it appears there is little fear of default. Those buying CDO's are venturing into illiquid markets to buy lottery tickets or insurance that will likely never pay off. Nonetheless, investors</description><pubDate>Thu, 28 Jul 2011 20:45:12 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-07-28.html</guid></item><item><title>One more rally in bonds before rolling, or are the highs in? </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-07-15.html</link><description>July 14th, 2011 For market commentary and event updates, "Like" DeCarley Trading on facebook! One more rally in bonds before rolling, or are the highs in? It was a relatively exciting day on the economic front, and action in Washington D.C. wasn't far behind. Early this morning traders were fed several pieces of economic data; including PPI, initial claims, retail sales and business inventories. Later in the day, it was Chairman Bernanke's semi-annual Senate Banking Committee testimony, and</description><pubDate>Fri, 15 Jul 2011 17:01:39 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-07-15.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasuries hinge on non-farm payrolls </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-07-07.html</link><description>For market commentary and event updates, "Like" DeCarley Trading on facebook! ADP shocked the financial markets with a gangbusters prediction of the government's employment report. The payroll giant believes the private sector added 157,000 jobs. To put this into perspective, expectations were for about 60,000 and last month's figure was 36,000. The result was renewed softness across Treasuries but in reality, the selling was much less dramatic than what could have been justified by the news.</description><pubDate>Thu, 07 Jul 2011 21:13:04 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-07-07.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasuries on pause for Greece resolution </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-06-20.html</link><description>June 17th, 2011 &amp;nbsp; Check out the latest Futures for You column in Stocks &amp;amp; Commodities Magazine featuring, DeCarley's Carley Garner! &amp;nbsp; Treasuries on pause for Greece resolution &amp;nbsp; Semi positive news out of Europe, higher stocks and strong comments made by Federal Reserve member Fisher all worked against bonds and notes going into what could be an eventful weekend.&amp;nbsp; &amp;nbsp; Fisher reiterated the need for U.S. legislators to reduce the debt load and confirmed that QE2 is</description><pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 17:26:51 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-06-20.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasury dilemma: Debt Crisis vs. Safety</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-06-10.html</link><description>Join us for Part II of Getting Started in Currency Trading online seminar June 16th, at 3:30 Central, visit our website for free registration! Investors are seeking quality, but with talk of defaults and debt ceilings, Treasuries just aren't the stellar attraction of "fear money" they once were. At the trough of equity trade in Friday' session, the long bond was treading water near 126, which was a gain of less than a handle on the day. Although 25 ticks is respectable, it could have easily</description><pubDate>Fri, 10 Jun 2011 21:38:44 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-06-10.html</guid></item><item><title>Blow off top forming in Treasuries?</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-05-26.html</link><description>Bonds and notes rallied moderately sharply in the face of higher equities and lower safe havens (greenback and gold). There seems to be a transformation in market psychology and more importantly psychology. In the coming days we will know if the timid trade in Treasuries or the risk on trade was the right call. In the short-run, we have to lean toward some sort of intermediate term top in bonds and notes. The economic recovery is more like Swiss cheese than a building block for the future but</description><pubDate>Thu, 26 May 2011 19:49:10 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-05-26.html</guid></item><item><title>New highs in Treasuries?</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-05-23.html</link><description>New highs in Treasuries? Option expiration in Treasuries and equities likely contributed to today's trade. Although, it is difficult to say whether it capped what could have potentially been a much larger rally in bonds and notes, or it actually held prices stable. Our gut tells us that it is the former. Gold and silver rallied sharply as flight to quality buyers scrambled to react to a free falling Euro and Middle East protests. Although the traditional relationship suggests that gold and the</description><pubDate>Mon, 23 May 2011 09:48:11 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-05-23.html</guid></item><item><title>Fight between risk on/off</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-05-12.html</link><description>Bonds and notes rallied in overnight trade, but as stocks and commodities recovered the flight to quality bid in Treasuries faded.&amp;nbsp; However, it was a dismal auction in the 30-year bond that triggered the final blow.&amp;nbsp; The Treasury auctioned $16 billion in 30-year bonds at a rate of 4.38% and a bid to cover of just 2.43 (the average is closer to 2.70).&amp;nbsp; Indirect bidders (foreign buyers) only accounted for 33% of the bids vs. 47.2% in the last round and a 10-auction average of</description><pubDate>Thu, 12 May 2011 21:47:33 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-05-12.html</guid></item><item><title>Bond Futures rip higher, but will RIP be next? </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-05-06.v02.html</link><description>Register for our next free webinar, "Getting Started in Currency Trading"!&amp;nbsp; Visit DeCarley Trading&amp;nbsp;to sign up.&amp;nbsp; It has been a chaotic and confusing week for commodity traders, but the Treasury market seemed to avoid the typical spillover of volatility. Virtual crashes in silver, gold, crude oil and the Euro could have easily sparked flight to quality buying into Treasuries but it just wasn't meant to be. The government reported its latest data on the jobs front this morning to an</description><pubDate>Fri, 06 May 2011 22:02:21 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-05-06.v02.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasury futures on hold for non-farm payrolls</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-03-31.html</link><description>Follow me on Twitter @carleygarner! Treasuries were a mixed bag of nuts ahead of tomorrow's key jobs data. The day's action was choppy and indecisive, but our guess that it was it was the result of position squaring in light volume as opposed to anything fundamental. Initial claims were reported at 388,000; given the multiyear slump in employment anything under 400,000 is considered a victory. Sub 400,000 numbers have become the norm as of late and this leads us to believe this month's number</description><pubDate>Thu, 31 Mar 2011 22:01:18 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-03-31.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasury futures on hold </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-03-25.html</link><description>Mixed economic data lead to a relatively mixed session, but selling across Treasuries did show up in afternoon trade. The government's third stab at fourth quarter GDP came in at a respectable growth rate of 3.1%. On the other hand, Michigan Sentiment was reported at a slightly lower than expected 67.5. However, as we all know...it is what consumers do that matters, not necessarily what they say. For the second time this week, selling in Treasuries was triggered by comments made by a regional</description><pubDate>Fri, 25 Mar 2011 20:17:29 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-03-25.html</guid></item><item><title>Profit taking ahead of non-farm </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-03-03.html</link><description>Follow me on Twitter @carleygarner! The Treasury rally backed off on Wednesday ahead of the government's latest read on the employment picture. Earlier in the week ADP predicted the non-farm payrolls to see a considerable increase and analysts estimates are looking for about 190,000 jobs added. Even a number slightly below expectations would be considered a victory and makes it difficult to be a Treasury bull. However, that is exactly what might hold the market up. Traders seem to have gotten</description><pubDate>Thu, 03 Mar 2011 21:51:32 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-03-03.html</guid></item><item><title>Ceiling in Treasury futures could get punctured! </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-02-25.html</link><description>As mentioned in yesterday's newsletter, stocks and bonds can travel higher together as asset prices of all types are being inflated by the Treasuries cash injections. In today's session, that was exactly what occurred...although the buying in each market is being attributed to different factors and were at differing paces. The buying pressure across bonds and notes was moderate at best, but in the face of a sharp equity rally it suggests the bias in the near-term will be higher regardless of</description><pubDate>Fri, 25 Feb 2011 23:08:21 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-02-25.html</guid></item><item><title>Bonds could be bottoming but.... </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-02-03.html</link><description>Bonds could be bottoming but.... The Treasury market seems to be attempting to form an intermediate term low, but it has been in the process of doing this for months now and has made little upside progress. With speculators, both large and small, net short it feels like the market is at risk of a probing low before any sort of sustainable rally can occur. If it weren't for persistent Fed buying, the long flush we have been patiently looking for might have already occurred. Today the Fed</description><pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2011 21:19:35 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-02-03.html</guid></item><item><title>Subdued response to turmoil for Treasury futures</title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-01-29.html</link><description>Political protests (more like riots) in Egypt shook up the financial and commodity markets. Investors flocked from risk and into "stuff" (as Dennis Gartman calls it). In other words, investors put money into hard assets, namely gold and silver. In theory, the move should have triggered a large wave of quality buying in Treasuries but that just wasn't the case. However, there was a firm flight to quality bid in the U.S. Dollar and that leaves the door open for fixed income buying early next</description><pubDate>Sat, 29 Jan 2011 00:30:18 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-01-29.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasury futures move higher into options expiration </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-01-21.html</link><description>View a video of Carley Garner discussing swing trading: http://www.traderkingdom.com/market-analysis-archived-webinars/1733-swing-trading-technical-seasonal-and-fundamental-analysis-to-predict-intermediate-term-volatility Bond and note futures tumbled sharply on Thursday on what seemed like could have easily been a highly bullish day. With stocks falling from Wednesday highs and commodities of all types suffering liquidation, many felt a logical place for money to move would be Treasuries.</description><pubDate>Fri, 21 Jan 2011 23:51:38 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2011-01-21.html</guid></item><item><title>Night and day Treasury auction results </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-12-29.html</link><description>Tips for day traders from Carley's Stocks &amp;amp; Commodities column, Futures for you: http://www.traders.com/Documentation/FEEDbk_Docs/2011/01/fut4you.html After a disappointing showing at yesterday's 5-year note auction, investors had their wallets open for today's $29 billion issuance of 7-year notes. The auction drew a yield of 2.83% (a bit lower than expected), with a bid to cover of 2.86 and a 64.2% participation rate by indirect bidders. This was the highest demand seen for this particular</description><pubDate>Wed, 29 Dec 2010 21:38:47 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-12-29.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasury futures short squeeze is on! </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-12-17.html</link><description /><pubDate>Fri, 17 Dec 2010 23:02:33 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-12-17.html</guid></item><item><title>Treasury futures might be bottoming, but one more flush? </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-12-03.html</link><description /><pubDate>Fri, 03 Dec 2010 22:50:55 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-12-03.html</guid></item><item><title>Good employment report, caps Treasury futures rally </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-11-06.html</link><description>Carley will be speaking at the Trader's Expo in Las Vegas, entry is complimentary with expo registration. Click here to sign up! It has been an exciting week in Treasuries, yet the December 30-year bond futures settled near unchanged on the week. In fact, the long bond hasn't moved much in three weeks despite somewhat dramatic re-pricing in the 5 and 10-year note futures. A reading of 151,000 in the non-farm payrolls came in at double the expectations, yet the unemployment rate didn't budge</description><pubDate>Sat, 06 Nov 2010 02:28:51 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-11-06.html</guid></item><item><title>Negative TIPS hangover in Treasury Futures </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-10-26.html</link><description>Carley will be speaking at the Trader's Expo in Las Vegas, entry is complimentary with expo registration. Click here to sign up! Can't make it to the Trader's Expo? Sign up for our next complimentary webinar to learn more about credit spreads and iron condors. Click here to register! Negative TIPS hangover in Treasury Futures Treasury bond and notes suffered on Tuesday at the hands of "OK" economic data and follow through selling left over from yesterday's 5-year TIPS auction. If you recall,</description><pubDate>Tue, 26 Oct 2010 19:16:17 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-10-26.html</guid></item><item><title>Sluggish Treasuries despite "risk off" trade </title><link>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-10-21.html</link><description>Carley will be speaking at the Trader's Expo in Las Vegas, entry is complimentary with expo registration. Click here to sign up! Can't make it to the Trader's Expo? Sign up for our next complimentary webinar to learn more about credit spreads and iron condors. Click here to register! Sluggish Treasuries despite "risk off" trade Investors look to finally be fleeing hard assets such as commodities but the money sure isn't flowing into Treasuries. A mid-day comeback in the Dollar, suggests</description><pubDate>Thu, 21 Oct 2010 21:29:32 GMT</pubDate><source url="http://www.fxstreet.com" /><category domain="http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/">http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/</category><author>info@DeCarleyTrading.com (DeCarley Trading)</author><guid>http://www.fxstreet.com/fundamental/market-view/the-bond-bulletin/2010-10-21.html</guid></item></channel></rss>
