Mon, Oct 13 2008, 08:09 GMT
by Peter Rosentreich
ACM - Advanced Currency Markets
The Usd was weaker in the Asian session as the initial reaction to the G7 plan is positive. The EurUsd climbed from 1.3410 to 1.3670, while the UsdJpy seesawed first to 101.19, before slipping to 99.57 and now failing moment on a race to 100.58. In addition, Asian regional equity indexes are positive and European & US stock futures are pointing to a positive open. G7 statement relased Friday was the pledge to "use all available tools to support systemically important financial institutions and prevent their failure". The G7 plan released lacked the real details the market was hoping for, but did convey the following points 1) unlimited liquidity in interbank lending; 2) support critical financial institutions 3) make certain that the banks are adequately capitalized, with individual banks having access to direct government or private capital sources. So far, the markets have reacted positively and traders will be watching to see if the trend continues. Should the positive sentiment continues, we expect the Jpy to come under significant selling pressure.
In the UK, inflation figures will capture the market's attention. Today's Producer Prices and tomorrow's CPI will provide the market with evidence if the UK prolonged period of high inflation is over and monetary policy can focus on growth. On that, we look for the BoE to ease rates by another 125bps over the next 12 months, bringing the base rate down to 3.25%.

| Global indexes | Current level | % Change |
| Nikkei 225 Index | 8,276.43 | -962.00% |
| Hang Seng Index | 15,926.38 | 763.00% |
| Shanghai Index | 2,073,57 | 364.00% |
| FTSE 100 Index | 4,147 | 545.00% |
| CAC 40 Index | 3,347 | 535.00% |
| SMI Index | 5,646 | 558.00% |
| DJIA futures | 8,760.00 | 465.00% |
| World markets | Current level | % Change |
| Gold | 861.45 | 1.34 |
| Silver | 10.56 | 4.86 |
| VIX | 69.95 | 9.43 |
| Crude wti | 81.11 | 4.38 |
| USD Index | 81.47 | -1.84 |
| Todays calender | Estimates | Previous | Country / GMT |
| Producer Prices (Sep) Input | -1.5%,19.8 | -2.0%,26.0 | UK / 8.30 |
| Producer Prices (Sep) Output | -0.4%,8.8% | -0.6%,9.7% | UK / 8.30 |
| Producer Prices (Sep) Core | -0.1%,+6.0 | -0.1%,+6.4 | UK / 8.30 |
AUDUSD
R 3: 0.7357
R 2: 0.7148
R 1: 0.6877
CURRENT: 0.6733
S 1: 0.6437
S 2: 0.6331
S 3: 0.6245
EURJPY
R 3: 144.97
R 2: 141.07
R 1: 139.71
CURRENT: 137.19
S 1: 134.23
S 2: 132.24
S 3: 130.62
USDSGD
R 3: 1.5086
R 2: 1.4980
R 1: 1.4845
CURRENT: 1.4685
S 1: 1.4562
S 2: 1.4489
S 3: 1.4458
Published on Mon, Oct 13 2008, 08:14 GMT
Advanced Currency Markets, S.A.
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