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Asian Session − G7 Releases Strong Statement

Mon, Oct 13 2008, 08:09 GMT
by Peter Rosentreich

ACM - Advanced Currency Markets


Market Brief

The Usd was weaker in the Asian session as the initial reaction to the G7 plan is positive. The EurUsd climbed from 1.3410 to 1.3670, while the UsdJpy seesawed first to 101.19, before slipping to 99.57 and now failing moment on a race to 100.58. In addition, Asian regional equity indexes are positive and European & US stock futures are pointing to a positive open. G7 statement relased Friday was the pledge to "use all available tools to support systemically important financial institutions and prevent their failure". The G7 plan released lacked the real details the market was hoping for, but did convey the following points 1) unlimited liquidity in interbank lending; 2) support critical financial institutions 3) make certain that the banks are adequately capitalized, with individual banks having access to direct government or private capital sources. So far, the markets have reacted positively and traders will be watching to see if the trend continues. Should the positive sentiment continues, we expect the Jpy to come under significant selling pressure.

In the UK, inflation figures will capture the market's attention. Today's Producer Prices and tomorrow's CPI will provide the market with evidence if the UK prolonged period of high inflation is over and monetary policy can focus on growth. On that, we look for the BoE to ease rates by another 125bps over the next 12 months, bringing the base rate down to 3.25%.

Snap Shot

Global indexes Current level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index8,276.43-962.00%
Hang Seng Index15,926.38763.00%
Shanghai Index2,073,57364.00%
FTSE 100 Index4,147545.00%
CAC 40 Index3,347535.00%
SMI Index5,646558.00%
DJIA futures8,760.00465.00%

World markets Current level % Change
Gold861.451.34
Silver10.564.86
VIX69.959.43
Crude wti81.114.38
USD Index81.47-1.84

Todays calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
Producer Prices (Sep) Input-1.5%,19.8-2.0%,26.0UK / 8.30
Producer Prices (Sep) Output-0.4%,8.8%-0.6%,9.7%UK / 8.30
Producer Prices (Sep) Core-0.1%,+6.0-0.1%,+6.4UK / 8.30


Currency Tech

AUDUSD
R 3: 0.7357
R 2: 0.7148
R 1: 0.6877
CURRENT: 0.6733
S 1: 0.6437
S 2: 0.6331
S 3: 0.6245

EURJPY
R 3: 144.97
R 2: 141.07
R 1: 139.71
CURRENT: 137.19
S 1: 134.23
S 2: 132.24
S 3: 130.62

USDSGD
R 3: 1.5086
R 2: 1.4980
R 1: 1.4845
CURRENT: 1.4685
S 1: 1.4562
S 2: 1.4489
S 3: 1.4458

  • S: Strong, M: Minor, T: Trendline, K: Keylevel, P: Pivot

Archive

Advanced Currency Markets, S.A.  | 50 Rue du Rhone CH-1204 Geneva
http://www.ac-markets.com | support@ac-markets.com

Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

This report has been prepared by AC Markets and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by AC Markets personnel at any given time. ACM is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.

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