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Asian Session − WaMu Fails and Bailout in Jeopardy

Fri, Sep 26 2008, 10:11 GMT
by Peter Rosentreich

ACM - Advanced Currency Markets


Market Brief

The Usd fell in the Asian session, as the prospects of a quick bailout diminished. The EurUsd traded up to 1.4678 from 1.4562, while the UsdJpy dropped from 107.02 to 105.61. In late US session optimism grew as the Paulson Plan seemed to be reaching an agreement. Details emerged that the $700bn would be pieced into installments, with the US government getting equity warrants in companies participating. In addition, executive compensation would also be monitored and restricted for bank partaking. However, before the equity market could break open the champagne a rove group of conservative house republicans countered with an alternative solution based around mortgage insurance. Elsewhere, a WaMu was closed by the US government, with all it assets absorbed by JP Morgan. Once again, markets will be focused on developments in the Paulson Plan and the financial market turmoil over domestic fundamentals. Crude prices came off slightly to $106.20bbl. The Asian equity markets were red across the board and European stock markets are trading higher.

In New Zealand, q2 showed a contraction in GDP to -0.2%, which confirms that the country is in a recession for the first time in 10 years. The recession is expected to be mild, with the economy expected to rebound by q4 2008, as weaker EM growth, lower commodity prices and financial market turbulence will weigh on any recovery.

With no critical scheduled events or data releases in Europe, the market will be keeping its powered dry until the US session.

Snap Shot

Global indexes Current level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index11,893.16-0.94
Hang Seng Index18,789.17-0.76
Shanghai Index2,293.78-0.16
FTSE futures5,104.26-1.78
DAX futures6,088.60-1.36
CAC futures4,147.30-1.88
DJIA futures10,845.00-1.57

World markets Current level % Change
Gold873.63-0.47
Silver13.2-0.48
VIX32.82-6.73
Crude wti105.8-2.05
USD Index76.96-0.04

Todays calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
KOF Swiss Leading Indicator (Sep)0.540.68SZ / 9.30
GDP (Q2 Final) (q/q Ann.)3.30%+3.3%pUS / 12.30
Univ. of Michigan Cons. Conf. Index (Sep Final)7173.1pUS / 14.00


Currency Tech


AUDUSD
R 3: 0.8534
R 2: 0.8519
R 1: 0.8469
CURRENT: 0.8288
S 1: 0.8279
S 2: 0.8011
S 3: 0.7802

EURJPY
R 3: 157.76
R 2: 156.99
R 1: 156.84
CURRENT: 154.12
S 1: 153.82
S 2: 150.79
S 3: 149.04

USDSGD
R 3: 1.4478
R 2: 1.4373
R 1: 1.4182
CURRENT: 1.4282
S 1: 1.4054
S 2: 1.3835
S 3: 1.3785

  • S: Strong, M: Minor, T: Trendline, K: Keylevel, P: Pivot


Archive

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This report has been prepared by AC Markets and is solely been published for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any currency or any other financial instrument. Views expressed in this report may be subject to change without prior notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by AC Markets personnel at any given time. ACM is under no obligation to update or keep current the information herein, the report should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.


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