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Asian Session − Japanese Yen rises against majors as Asian economies miss oil−fall benefit

Thu, Sep 4 2008, 10:15 GMT
by Peter Rosentreich

ACM - Advanced Currency Markets


Market Brief

EURUSD traded to a low of 1.4386 - on weak retail sales - and high of 1.4512 yesterday. Asian session saw the pair playing the range. Commodities continued to consolidate. Gold tested a previous support of $790 before backtracking to $808. Crude stayed below $110 levels, giving a breath of fresh air to many global currencies. Dollar suffered from a weak challenger job cuts figure.

Yen rose against dollar to 108.12 yesterday and continued it's bullish advance into the Asian trading session. Japanese economic woes and abysmal data sees yen strong against high yielding currencies (NZD and AUD) pushed on by un-winding of carry trades. South Asian currencies missed the benefits of the lowering in commodities as recession fears continue.

ECB and BoE rate decisions today to dictate the dollar's price action and guide markets as all watch ECB's hawkish tone - recent talk about threat to inflation and that vigilance is still needed in this regard has all eyes riveted on Trichet’s comments. BoE is in a very tricky position as economy slows and unemployment rises. Although a rate cut would boost business and public sectors BoE will probably hold back at least another month before acting.

Snap Shot

Global indexes Current level % Change
Nikkei 225 Index 12557-1.04
Hang Seng Index 20467-0.57
Shanghai Index 2274-0.08
DAX futures 6547-0.14
CAC futures 44700.15
DJIA futures 11523-0.12
Nasdaq futures 1841-0.97

World markets Current level % Change
Gold 804.650.42
Silver 12.885-0.19
VIX 21.43-2.55
Crude wti 109.3-0.05
USD Index 78.002-0.11

Todays calender Estimates Previous Country / GMT
Bank of England Rate Decision 5.00%5.00%GBP / 11:00
European Central Bank Rate Decision 4.25%4.25%EUR / 11:45
US Initial Jobless Claims 420K 425K US / 12:30
US ISM non-manufacturing composite 49.549.5US / 14:00


Currency Tech

AUDUSD
0.8694
0.8586
0.8535
CURRENT: 0.8351
0.8234
0.8173
0.8108

EURJPY
161.13
159.73
158.46
CURRENT: 156.91
156.25
156.03
155.16

USDSGD
1.4643
1.4542
1.4445
CURRENT: 1.4296
1.4308
1.4265
1.4116

  • S: Strong, M: Minor, T: Trendline, K: Keylevel, P: Pivot

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