USD: Good Retail Sales, But Oil Concerns Linger

Fri, Jun 13 2008, 01:20 GMT
by Andrei Pehar


Next fundamental news will be commented on 26th June

Retail sales came in better than expected today, posting an increase of 1.0% - double the figure analysts were expecting, and a 0.6% increase over the prior month.  Core retail sales (which excludes autos) came in at 1.2%, with the prior month being revised up to 1.0%; analysts had been expecting only a slight gain of 0.7%.

The positive news caused a momentary Dollar rally, causing the EUR/USD to drop by nearly 40 pips.  The optimism was short-lived, however, and the EUR/USD resumed its climb just minutes later.  Oil remains the primary concern... currently at $136.56 and just below its all-time high, with fear of further supply disruptions in the Nigerian delta and declining US crude oil inventories, dropping by 4.6 million barrels for the second month in a row.

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