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Forex Commentaries and Forecasts

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About the Fed interest rates politic in 2007

Mon, Jun 25 2007, 13:15 GMT
by George Marshal

World-Signals®


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Like the normal for Monday the trading on the market is mixed. The traders expect new evidences for the situation in the US economy. Still the signals are not clear what will do the Fed with the interest rates during 2007. The half of the year is over as the speculations for Fed rate cut started at the end of 2006. The worst scenarios forecasted Fed rate cut with 0.5% to the mid of 2007. The most optimistic forecast ups with 0.25%. For the moment the most realistic scenario for 2007 is the Fed to cut with 25 bps to 5.00% or to keep the interest rates unchanged. The decision will come by two main factors. The first is the US housing sector reports and the second US inflation. The first factor is present this week with Existing home sales and New home sales.



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