The big
question for the whole 2007 for the dollar and forex market is whether Federal
Reserve will cut the interest rates. The speculations start since the autumn of
2006 and still are the most actual news moving the forex market. A week ago
most of the traders forecasting Fed rate cut to the end of 2007 at least once.
This means at the end of the year US interest rates at 5.00%. But this week the
situation is not the same. The concerns for the US inflation bring new rumors
that Fed will keep the interest rates unchanged. Even some analyzers predict
rate hike during 2007 if the US inflation is not set on control. The second
most important event moving the forex market is the US economic growth. The
latest fundamental release shows slowing down of the world biggest economy. But
the key element is how slow is the US economy and is it temporary or sign of
serious slowing down. Just when are giving the right answer of these questions
the dollar should start recovery.
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