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The US dollar neared record lows against the euro

Mon, Mar 31 2008, 05:59 GMT
by Union Bank of California Team

Union Bank of California


The US dollar neared record lows against the euro after US data showed inflation pressures were subdued, supporting further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve to boost a weakening economy. Consumer spending increased 0.1%, the slowest pace in more than a year, signaling economic expansion may be grinding to a halt. In other news this morning, US stocks gained as energy companies rallied on higher natural gas prices.

The euro was boosted by inflationary pressure comments from a euro zone policy-maker, strengthening the view that the European Central Bank is unlikely to cut rates any time soon. Although, ECB officials have reiterated concerns that the strength of the euro could impact European economic growth, recent European data continues to show the euro-zone economy is much healthier than the US further pressuring the world’s largest economy.

Sterling briefly pared losses against the US dollar and euro drawing support from a narrower-than-expected current account deficit. However, the Bank of England has underlined further downside risks such as a slowdown in economic growth and less global liquidity—markets are pricing in a chance of a UK interest rate cut next month.

The Japanese yen remains within recent ranges against the greenback moving in line with the Swiss franc as both are funding currencies. The Nikkei 225 index rose 215.89 points overnight as investors bet the impact of a US recession and global credit crunch were overdone.

The Canadian dollar was flat ahead of key domestic data due next week, namely the gross domestic product report on Monday and the March jobs data on Friday which could force the loonie out of its recent range. Crude oil weakened slightly to $105 a barrel and gold is trading at $930/oz.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars strengthened versus US dollar aided by a bounce in Asian stocks and a solid week of gains for commodity prices.


Union Bank of California http://www.uboc.com | info@uboc.com

Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

This market comment is prepared by Union Bank of California's Global FX & Derivatives Department for the general information of its customers. It is based of the most accurate information currently available, but should not considered investment advise or a guarantee of future exchange rate or trends.


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