Previous session overview

The U.K. pound fell sharply in Asia Tuesday, dragging the euro down with it, due to reported remarks by a senior official at Fitch Ratings that the U.K. is most at risk among major economies of losing its AAA status.

Fitch's co-head of global sovereign ratings David Riley made the remarks in an interview with Reuters earlier in the day.

The yen rose slightly against the euro and dollar Tuesday. The euro was at JPY134.44 from JPY134.90 in New York and the dollar was at JPY89.73 from JPY89.99. The rise was mostly due to Japanese exporters, who sold the two currencies against the yen as part of their regular monthly settlement.

The euro rallied toward USD1.50 on Monday amidst broad-based US dollar weakness, as well as signs that the Euro-zone largest economy may be pulling the region out of recession thanks to increased trade. The German trade balance surged to 10.6 billion euros in September (not seasonally adjusted), as exports rose 3.8 percent while imports increased 5.8 percent.

The British pound may have gained nearly 1 percent against the US dollar and Japanese yen, but the currency generally fell versus the rest of the majors as there are lingering concerns that the Bank of England will continue to expand their quantitative easing program.

The Australian dollar edged higher in Asia trade on Tuesday and is tipped to climb further in the near term as economic fundamentals continue to favor appreciation.


Market expectation

Pound traders flash up that a 'good name' was a noted buyer in the USD1.6630/35 area, with rate pushed up to current level around USD1.6655. Offers seen placed toward USD1.6680.

The euro also slipped against the dollar, but dealers said the single currency is likely to claw back its losses, as investors' long-term sentiment suggests the greenback will remain under selling pressure as the Federal Reserve may have no choice but to keep its rates low to boost economic growth.

Euro-dollar bids remain at USD1.4950, with resistance USD1.5020/30. Russian sales of euro-dollar into early Europe ease rate back to USD1.4982.

European stock markets are expected to open modestly higher Tuesday after the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new 2009 high, and strong gains in Asia, as upbeat sentiment after the Group of 20 meeting continued to lend support.

Giving a firm signal the government is relaxed with any test of parity against the U.S. dollar, Australia's Trade Minister said the Australian dollar could rise to parity with the U.S. currency, and the country's manufacturers will have to learn to live with it.


Most important events of the day

10-NovCount. Event For Unit Imp. Act. Cons. Prev.
0:00EU ECOFIN Meeting Low
0:00WLDIEA publish World Energy Outlook 2009 Low
0:00GB BoE, Executive Director, Financial Stability Haldane gives presentation on "Valuation and Accounting" before the RICS International Conference Low
0:01GB BRC Retail Sales Monitor (Total) Oct % y/y Med2.8
0:01GB RICS Housing Survey Oct % Med2822
0:30AU NAB Business Confidence Oct index Med14
0:30US Dallas Fed President Fisher to speak on "Current State of the Economy and a look to the Future" Low
5:00JP Economy Watchers Survey Oct index Med43.143.1
7:00DEWholesale price index Oct % m/m Low-0.2
7:00DEWholesale price index Oct % y/y Low-8.1
7:00DECPI (F) Oct % m/m High0.10.1
7:00DECPI (F) Oct % y/y High
7:00DEHICP (F) Oct % m/m High0.20.2
7:00DEHICP (F) Oct % y/y High
7:45FR Industrial Production Sep % m/m Low0.51.8
7:45FR Industrial Production Sep % y/y Low-9.2-10.8
7:45FR Manufacturing Production Sep % m/m Low1.21.9
7:45FR Manufacturing Production Sep % y/y Low-10.5-11.5
8:30SE Activity Index Sep index Low102.8
8:30SE Industrial Orders Sep %m/m Low-4.2
8:30SE Industrial Orders Sep %y/y Low-18.1
8:30SE Industrial Production Sep %m/m Low0.5-2.9
8:30SE Industrial Production Sep %y/y Low-19.7-20.9
8:30DKCPI Oct % m/m Low0.2
8:30DKCPI Oct %y/y Low0.8
8:30DKHICP Oct % m/m Low0.2
8:30DKHICP Oct %y/y Low0.5
8:30EU EU FinMin Meeting in Brussels Low
9:00IT Industrial Production (sa) Sep % m/m Low-47
9:00IT Industrial Production (wda) Sep % y/y Low-15.8-18.3
9:00NOCore CPI Oct % y/y Low2.22.4
9:00NOCore CPI Oct %m/m Low0.11.1
9:00NOCPI Oct % y/y Low0.81.2
9:00NOCPI Oct %m/m Low0.8
9:00NOPPI inc. Oil Oct % y/y Low-4.1-6.7
9:00NOPPI inc. Oil Oct %m/m Low-6
9:30GB Trade Balance, Non-EU Sep GBP bn Low-3-3.046
9:30GB Visible Trade Balance, World Sep GBP bn High-6.1-6.24
9:30GB DCLG House Prices Sep % y/y Low-4.8-5.6
10:00DE ZEW (Current Conditions) Nov Survey Med-70-72.2
10:00DE ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Nov Survey High5556
10:00EU ZEW (Current Conditions) Nov Survey Low-75.4
10:00EU ZEW (Economic Sentiment) Nov Survey High5856.9
14:15US Atlanta Fed President Lockhart to speak on "Emerging trends in Real Estate" at a conference Low
15:00US IBD consumer optimism Nov index Low49.548.7
15:05US San Francisco Fed President Yellen to speak on the "Economic Outlook" Low
15:45EU ECB Board member Gonzales-Paramo gives speech on "The origing of the crisis and possible solutions" at the European Parliament. Low
16:15US Boston Fed President Rosengren to give speech at the European Economics and Financial Centre Low
16:30NO Norges Bank Deputy Governor Qvigstad to give speech at The Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters is Oslo Low
20:30US Fed Board Governor Tarullo gives speech on "Resolution Authority" before the Institue of International Bankers conference Low
21:45NZ Food Price Oct % m/m Low-0.7
23:30AU Westpac Consumer Confidence Nov level Med121.4
23:50JP Key Machinery Orders Sep % m/m Low4.10.5
23:50JP Key Machinery Orders Sep % y/y Low-26.2-26.5