Previous session overview

The yen hit multi-week highs against the dollar and the euro in Asia Tuesday after a Wall Street Journal report that U.S. officials are pushing Bank of America and Citigroup to raise more capital fueled worries about the American banking sector.

That led to buying of the Japanese currency as a safe-haven unit. Concern over the increase in suspected swine flu cases worldwide also contributed to the yen's appreciation, traders said.

The EUR spent much of last week clawing its way higher from sub USD1.30 to a high just above USD1.33 on Friday night. We gave back all those gains yesterday with Nowotny comments one of the key drivers.

Increasing worries over the U.K. economy and country's ballooning debt weighed on the British pound on Monday and it dropped to as low as 1.4515 against the dollar and 0.8955 versus the euro.

The greenback dropped to JPY95.97, its lowest level since March 30, compared with JPY96.78 in New York late Monday. The euro plunged to JPY124.66, its weakest level since March 12 and below JPY126.22 in New York overnight.

The Australian dollar was down in late Asian trade Tuesday as concerns about the global spread of swine flu and the capital adequacy of U.S. banks eroded more of the currency's recent gains. The Australian dollar was USD0.7022 from USD0.7124 late Friday. It hit a low of USD0.6999, its weakest reading since April 21.


Market expectation

The euro continues to be plagued by risk aversion, on top of mixed signals from European policy makers, although remarks from some officials at the European Central Bank have suggested additional easing measures are likely.

Some traders are poised to push the euro below USD1.30.

For EURUSD Bids seen placed at USD1.2985/80, a break below to open a deeper move toward USD1.2950/40, though traders notes that order boards seen 'well bid' below USD1.2980. Resistance seen placed at USD1.3036, more between USD1.3045/55, a break above to open a move on toward USD1.3090/00.

GBPUSD recovered to USD1.4590 into early Europe, meeting resistance from reported offers placed between USD1.4590/00, before reversing again, this time extending lows to USD1.4545. Rate currently trades around USD1.4565. Support remains at USD1.4545/40, a break below to open a deeper move toward USD1.4515/00. Resistance remains at USD1.4590/00, a break above to open a move on toward USD1.4620/25 ahead of USD1.4650/60.

Market participants are awaiting the releases of U.S. March quarter gross domestic product data and the Federal Open Market Committee's policy decision, both due Wednesday.


Most important events of the day

28-AprCount. Event For Unit Imp. Act. Cons. Prev.
0:00IS Gallup Expectations Survey Apr Index Low
0:00DE CPI (P) Apr % m/m High0.1-0.1
0:00DE CPI (P) Apr % y/y High0.80.5
0:00DE HICP (P) Apr % m/m High0.1-0.2
0:00DE HICP (P) Apr % y/y High0.80.4
0:00DE States CPI Apr % y/y High
0:00EU European Monetary Affairs Commisioner Almunia will give closing remarks on the EU-China macroeconomic dialogue, Brussels Low
6:00FI Unemployment Mar % rate Low7.87.6
6:45FR Consumer confidence Apr index Low-43-43
7:00CH UBS Consumption Indicator Mar index Med
7:30SE PPI Mar % y/y Low43.4
7:30SE PPI Mar % m/m Low0.3-0.2
7:30SE Retail sales (nsa) Mar %y/y Low-1.7-1.3
7:30SE Retail sales (sa) Mar %m/m Low-0.2-0.6
7:30EU European Competition Commisioner Kroes will speak at the 14th International Conference on Competition in Hamburg Low
7:30IT ISAE Business Sentiment Apr index Low61.359.8
8:00IT Retail sales (nsa) Feb % y/y Low-1.30.7
8:00IT Retail sales (sa) Feb % m/m Low
8:00NO Norges Bank release survey of bank lending 2009 Q1 Low
9:00ITNon-EU Trade balance Mar EUR mn Low
9:00IT Non-EU Trade balance Mar EUR mn Low
9:00FR OECD to release economic survey of France Low
12:30US Durable goods orders Mar % m/m High
12:30US Durables ex defence Mar % m/m High
12:30US Durables ex transport Mar % m/m High
13:00US S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Feb % y/y Low-18.7-19
14:00US Consumer confidence Apr index High29.526
15:00CHSNB Chairman Roth will give a speech at the Verband der Schweizr Immobilienwirtschaft in Zurich Low
16:30EU ECB Executive Board Member Bini Smaghi lectures before the International Center for Monetary and Banking studies in Geneva on "Conventional and non-conventional monetary policy" Low
22:45NZ Trade Balance Mar NZ $ mn High