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Daily Forex Overview

Fri, Mar 20 2009, 08:41 GMT
by Raivis Zile

Dukascopy Swiss FX Group  |  View company's profile


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Previous session overview

The U.S. dollar rose slightly against the yen and the euro Friday in Asian trade after hitting multi-week lows a day earlier.

The US dollar remained extremely weak on Thursday following the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing announcement on Wednesday.

Yesterday EURUSD traded with a low of USD1.3419 and a high of USD1.3737 before closing the day at USD1.3670.

The Sterling traded above USD1.4500 supported by the Fed plan to purchase bonds. Although the rally was subdued with views that the BoE plan to instill their own quantitative easing last week may counteract that of the FOMC.

US dollar weakened to as low as JPY93.55 versus Japanese yen and USD1.1158 against the Swiss franc respectively before profit-taking emerged on risk aversion due to the fall in U.S. stock markets. U.S. dollar was down by 1.4 percent at JPY94.53 and 1.6 percent at USD1.1235 respectively against the yen and Swiss franc in late New York session.

The Australian dollar consolidated gains just below two-month highs in Asia Friday in preparation for what many analysts expect will be a serious test of USD0.7000 in coming sessions.


Market expectation

The euro is little changed against the dollar and yen on Friday, but observers say the greenback could resume sliding soon.

The dollar found some support overnight as U.S. stocks fell on renewed concerns about the U.S. financial services industry, fueling demand for the currency as a relative safe haven. However, analysts expect the U.S. Federal Reserve's quantitative easing measures, announced earlier this week, to continue weighing on the dollar.

The euro should remain especially well-supported at this moment, but its performance will be heavily influenced by any hint of euro-zone monetary policy changes ahead of the European Central Bank's April 2 meeting.

EURUSD Asian highs soon eroded into European dealing as euro-dollar regains the USD1.37 handle amid talk of Russian demand. Offers reported into USD1.3720, ahead of Thursday's highs at USD1.3739. Stops then placed through USD1.3760.

The Aussie has acquired a new gloss since the announcement Wednesday by the U.S. Federal Reserve that it will undertake quantitative easing, according to some traders. Strengthening commodity prices in the second half of the week and a fresh reexamination of the comparatively high yields and strong fundamentals on offer in Australia is lending support to the currency, they said.

Markets in Japan will be closed for a holiday on Friday.


Most important events of the day

20-MarCount. Event For Unit Imp. Act. Cons. Prev.
0:00JP Market Holiday - Vernal Equinox Low
0:00US St.Louis Fed President Bullard speaks in Paris at a Banque de France workshop Low
2:00NZ Credit Card Statistics Feb % m/m (sa) Low-2.2
7:00DE PPI Feb % m/m Med-1.2
7:00DE PPI Feb % y/y Med2
9:00IT Unemployment (sa) Q4 % rate Low6.7
9:00EU European Council meeting (final day) Low
9:00WLD WTO dispute settlement body meeting Low
10:00EU Trade balance (sa) Jan EUR bn High0.3
10:00EU Trade balance (nsa) Jan EUR bn High-0.7
13:30CA Motor Vehicle Sales Jan % m/m Low-14.8
13:30CA Retail Sales Jan % m/m High-5.4

*Note all time are GMT.


Archive


Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
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