Previous session overview

On Wednesday, the dollar advanced versus its major rivals after the crude oil market closed down more than USD4 on the day, sending U.S. stocks higher.

A better-than-expected earnings report from Wells Fargo sustained positive moves in financial stocks Wednesday, helping the dollar stay strong.

The euro fell to an intraday low of USD1.5800 during the New York session; a significant change from its lifetime high struck just a day earlier at USD1.6040.

The British sterling is off its recent 31/2 month highs against the USD following today's disappointing unemployment data. UK labor market data showed the number of Britons out of work jumped by its largest amount since 1992. GBPUSD traded with a low of 1.9957 and a high of 2.0097 before closing the day at 1.9985.

The Japanese yen rose to 1 and a half month highs against the USD as risk aversion and a beleaguered dollar lent it strength. USDJPY traded with a low of 103.77 and a high of 105.12 before closing the day around 105.10.

The Australian dollar was marginally softer late Thursday after a rebound in the greenback pulled the high-yielding commodity currency back from recent record highs.


Market expectation

The euro is higher against the dollar Today, with the USD1.5800 level protected by buy orders. However, sell orders are settled at around USD1.5845-USD1.5855.

EURUSD, EURJPY rising and analysts saying that pairs will continue upward trend in near term as there are favorable conditions for EUR. Despite of high EURUSD level, no complaints heard from E.U. officials and dollar is beset by various problems and the yen is completely out of the loop.

For AUDUSD expected 0.9650-75, which previously served as resistance, now looks like technical support. The Australian dollar is expected to consolidate gains from the past week, but remain capped around its recent 25-year high of US$0.9849.

Traders expect that Economic data and interest rate will pull USDCHF in opposite directions.


Most important events of the day

Date Time:GMT Currency Indicator Forecast Prior
7/17/20081:30AUD RBA Bulletin
7/17/20088:00EUR Italian Trade Balance -0.90B -1.00B
7/17/20089:00CHF ZEW Expectations -66.8-63.8
7/17/200812:30CAD Foreign Securities Purchases 3.5B 9.8B
7/17/200812:30USD Building Permits 0.96M 0.98M
7/17/200812:30USD Housing Starts 0.96M 0.98M
7/17/200812:30USD Unemployment Claims 380K 346K
7/17/200813:10USD FOMC Member Kroszner Speaks
7/17/200814:00USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index -15-17.1
7/17/200814:30CAD BOC Monetary Policy Report
7/17/200814:35USD Natural Gas Storage 88B 90B
7/17/200815:15CAD BOC Governor Carney Speaks
7/17/200823:50JPY Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes