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Currency Currents

Wed, Jul 1 2009, 12:19 GMT

Black Swan Capital


Key News
• The official Chinese Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to a seasonally adjusted 53.2 in June from 53.1 in May, the Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said today in Beijing in an e-mailed statement. (Bloomberg)
• Sentiment among Japan’s largest manufacturers (Tankan) rose less than estimated in June.
• German machinery and factory equipment orders were down 48 percent on the year in May. Orders from inside Germany fell by 42 percent, while those from abroad were down 51 percent.
• India's exports fell by 29 percent in May. (AP)

Key Reports Due (WSJ):
7:00 a.m. Jun 26 Mortgage Refinance Application Survey: Previous: +5.9%.
8:15 a.m. Jun ADP National Employment Report: Expected: -400K. Previous: -532K.
10:00 a.m. Jun ISM Mfg Index: Expected: 45. Previous: 42.8.
10:00 a.m. June Construction Spending: Expected: -1.0%. Previous: +0.8%.
10:00 a.m. May Pending Home Sales: Expected: -0.5%. Previous: +6.7%.
10:30 a.m. Jun 26 U.S. Energy Dept Oil Inventories


Quotable
“The real voyage of discovery consists not in seeking new landscapes but in having new eyes.”
Marcel Proust


FX Trading – Lot of “key days” yesterday or just more head fakes?
A key day reversal is defined by Stockcharts.com as “a one day chart pattern where prices sharply reverse during a trend. In an uptrend, prices open in new highs and then close below the previous day's closing price. In a downtrend, prices open lower and then close higher. The wider the price range on the key reversal day and the heavier the volume, the greater the odds that a reversal is taking place.”


Crude Oil:
 chart

British pound:
chart

New Zealand Dollar:
 chart

Australian dollar Daily:
 chart

S&P 500 Index Futures Daily:
 chart

Gold (not quite applicable but…):
chart

Emerging Stock Index:
 chart

Dow Jones Industrial Average:
 chart

Nothing startling here, granted; just something to be aware of if you hadn’t noticed.

Today we get ADP Employment Report.  It has been a market mover of late.

Jack Crooks
Black Swan Capital LLC, www.blackswantrading.com

Black Swan Capital LLC  | 2161 SW Racquet Club Drive Palm City, Florida 34990
http://www.blackswantrading.com | jcrooks@blackswantrading.com

Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

Currency Currents is strictly an informational publication and does not provide individual, customized investment advice. The money you allocate to options should be strictly the money you can afford to risk. While every effort is made to evaluate the actual experience of subscribers, all performance figures must be considered hypothetical, and past results are no guarantee of future performance. Detailed disclaimer can be found at http://www.blackswantrading.com/disclaimer.html

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