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US: Update ADP Employment Report
Thu, Nov 5 2009, 13:33 GMT
by BBVA Bancomer Team
BBVA Bancomer
According to the ADP National Employment Report, private non-farm payrolls dropped 203K jobs in October, fewer than the 227K jobs shed in September. While this is the smallest number of job losses since July 2008, it is also the twenty-first consecutive monthly decline.
Job losses slowed to 117K from 146K in the goods producing sector, but rose to 86K from 81K in the services sector. Meanwhile losses slowed across firms of all sizes. Job destruction eased to 53K from 56K in large firms, 75K from 85K in medium companies and 75K from 90K in small businesses.
Bottom-line: The ADP Employment Report indicates that job destruction is slowing as expected, but that losses will continue throughout the beginning of the recovery. Furthermore, the ongoing weakness in the labor market could keep consumer spending subdued. Given today’s results, we maintain our expectation that the decline in non-farm payrolls will slow in Friday’s Employment Situation report.
Published on
Thu, Nov 5 2009, 13:35 GMT
BBVA Bancomer
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