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Romania: In the light of the Romanian presidential elections

Fri, Nov 20 2009, 15:39 GMT
by Omar Arnaout

X-Trade Brokers, XTB


Romania is preparing for the presidential vote to be held on November 22. Electing a president may help the financially ailing country not only in restoring investors sentiment to the country and strengthening the Romanian currency but also in pushing the bailout loan payment which is currently being stalled by the IMF. Unfortunately much points to the fact that there is lack of support for an outright victory which may force a second run off on December 6, which also means that the Romanian currency can be exposed to a short term weakening against the Euro. 

From the technical point of view the market has stopped on a significant geometric level, which is also the 38.2% retracement of the increase movement initiated on 2.07.09. The stochastic oscillator also signals a possible increase and the markets current target is reaching the level of 4.2967 or with greater market strength 4.3023. The negation of the above mentioned scenario would be the breaking of the support level of 4.2570.

X-Trade Brokers Dom Maklerski SA  | Robert.kosowski@xtb.pl; 00-876 Warszawa
http://www.xtb.com/ | Robert.kosowski@xtb.pl

Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

X-Trade Brokers Dom Maklerski S.A. does not take responsibility for investment decisions made under the influence of the information published on this website. None of the published information can be treated as a recommendation, disposition, promise, or guarantee that the investor will achieve a profit or will minimize risk using the information published on this website. Transactions including investment instruments, especially derivatives using leverage, are in its nature speculative and can provide both profits and losses that can exceed the initial deposit engaged by the investor.

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