EU: EC forecasts assume sustainability of low inflation in Slovakia

Mon, Apr 28 2008, 16:04 GMT
by Mária Valachyová

Erste Bank der oesterreichischen Sparkassen AG


  • European Commission published its spring forecasts. It foresees the harmonized inflation on average at 3.8% in 2008 and 3.2% in 2009. The Maastricht limit is seen by the EC at 4.1% and 3.4% in 2008 and 2009, respectively, which means that Slovak inflation will be below the reference limit in both years.
  • Hence, the low inflation is viewed as sustainable in Slovakia in the forecasted horizon in the view of European Commission. Please recall that the EC convergence report (to be published in May 7) is the most crucial for chances on euro adoption in Slovakia. The adoption of euro in Slovakia is very likely in our view.
  • In reaction, the koruna strengthened to 32.28 SKK/EUR from previous 32.37 SKK/EUR.

Erste Bank http://global.treasury.erstebank.com | Rainer.Singer@erstebank.at

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