EMU economic indicators

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0
PMI manufacturing index EMU (October): Up
Mon, Oct 19 2009, 08:01 GMT
by BHF-Bank Economics Department
BHF-Bank
The ifo business climate for Germany is likely to have remained more or less unchanged in October.
Both the German ZEW economic sentiment and the US ISM manufacturing index have deteriorated. German yield spreads have been fluctuating, because long-term interest rates decreased initially and then recovered somewhat, while short-term rates have more or less stabilised. The DAX has improved, but the euro has continued to appreciate and crude oil prices have gone up recently. The results of the German election might have fuelled business expectations, but the current assessment could have gone down as a result of the car scrapping premium being phased out. For similar reasons, the Purchasing Managers’ Index for the German manufacturing sector is only likely to have stabilised.

However, Belgian business confidence could have rebounded and both French business confidence and the Purchasing Managers’ Index for the manufacturing sector in the EMU could have continued to improve in October.
French consumer spending might have rebounded in September, just as consumer confidence did.
EMU industrial new orders will probably have increased in August, in the same way as the corresponding German figure. Following its usual seasonal pattern, the EMU current account is expected to have plummeted in August, just like the corresponding German figure and the EMU trade balance.
Published on
Mon, Oct 19 2009, 11:26 GMT
Archive
- Harmonized consumer prices in Italy for October are unlikely to be revised significantly
Published On Mon, Nov 16 2009, 05:49 GMT
- EMU industrial production (September): Unchanged
Published On Mon, Nov 9 2009, 07:09 GMT
- ECB council: No policy change
Published On Mon, Nov 2 2009, 06:37 GMT
- German retail sales (September): Rebounding
Published On Mon, Oct 26 2009, 05:56 GMT
- PMI manufacturing index EMU (October): Up
Published On Mon, Oct 19 2009, 08:01 GMT
[ View All ]
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