EMU economic indicators

EMU industrial production is expected to have increased slightly in April

Mon, Jun 9 2008, 08:28 GMT
by BHF-Bank Economics Department

BHF-Bank


French industrial production probably rebounded slightly in April, as French production expectations had improved. However, Italian industrial production might have remained unchanged at best in April, as most of the correlated climate indicators deteriorated. EMU industrial production could have increased somewhat in April, just like the average of the corresponding national figures. Q1 Italian GDP is not likely to be revised significantly. The detailed breakdown of the GDP components will also be published.

The German trade balance and current account are likely to have decreased in April, following their usual seasonal pattern. German consumer price inflation in May is expected to be confirmed at 3.0 % yoy and 0.6 % mom. According to the Länder data, the acceleration in the monthly inflation rate was mainly due to the sharp price increases for gasoline and heating oil. Moreover, after having decreased markedly in April, prices for package tours and accommodation services went up again.

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