Global update

  • Q3 earnings in the US continue to surprise on the upside, around 80% have beaten expectations 
  • In Sweden, the Riksbank held the repo rate path unchanged 
  • Strong Q3 GDP growth in China and a round of healthy monthly activity indicators for September add further pressure on Chinese authorities to shift focus from supporting growth to controlling inflation risks 
  • In Euroland, PMI data and the German Ifo index showed further increases, suggesting that economic activity in Euroland continues to recover 
  • US housing data disappointed compared with expectations, suggesting that housing construction has lost some momentum heading into the current quarter 
  • An article in FT this week suggested that the Fed is warming up for a change in the ‘extended period’ phrase. While the Fed’s Beige Book indicated a modest improvement in activity, it had a weak undertone 
  • UK GDP unexpectedly declined in Q3 as the economy continues to struggle under its large dependence on the service industry 

Market movers ahead

  • In Norway, all focus is on the monetary policy meeting and the new Monetary Policy Report 
  • Key macro data to watch in Sweden will be the manufacturing confidence figures, and retail sales 
  • In the US, focus will be on Q3 GDP growth, durable goods orders and regional PMIs 
  • Euroland inflation data and M3 growth will be worth watching in addition to
    German unemployment data 
  • In Asia, the monetary policy meeting at the Bank of Japan will take centre stage