Weekly Credit Strategy Update

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The weeks of the negative news

Fri, Jun 6 2008, 15:23 GMT
by Danske Research Team

Danske Bank A/S


The week was characterised by a great deal of negative news in the banking sector. The rating agencies swung their axe on both the US broker-dealers and bond insurers; the UK housing market continued to weaken; and the prices on asset-backed securities (ABS) contracted. Despite the negative sentiment, we witnessed some activity in the primary market.

The negative news during the week – mainly the downgrade of the US broker-dealers – weighed on spreads and took iTraxx Europe some 9bp higher to 87bp. High-yield credit spreads in iTraxx Crossover also widened and finished the week some 30bp higher at 477bp. On the whole, it appears as if the positive sentiment in the credit markets has lost some of the momentum it gained after the rescue of Bear Sterns back in March. We remain cautious as we think the ongoing tensions in the money markets, significant tightening of lending standards, as well the sharply deteriorating signs from the real economy will weigh on spreads.

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