Weekly Economic Letter
Provincial update: Quebec and Ontario
Tue, Dec 16 2008, 06:39 GMT
by Economic and Strategy Team
National Bank of Canada | View company's profile
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Highlights
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Quebec and Ontario account for three-quarters of Canadian manufacturing, a sector that has been hard hit by the U.S. recession.
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Buoyant domestic demand along with well-filled order books in the aeronautics sector is likely to help the Quebec economy sidestep a severe recession. However, a technical recession is still a possibility. The economy should grow by 0.7% in 2008 and 0.2% in 2009.
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Because of the marked weakness of the external sector, the strength of domestic demand, which finally is not far off its Quebec counterpart, will not be enough to prevent a drop in Ontario’s real GDP in 2009, estimated at 0.8%. The economy should barely grow at all in 2008.
Published on
Tue, Dec 16 2008, 06:45 GMT
Archive
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Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements about the 2009 Economic and Financial Outlook. Such statements are subject to risk and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially due to a variety of factors, including legislative or regulatory developments, competition, technological change and economic conditions in Canada, North America or internationally. These and other factors should be considered carefully and readers should not rely unduly on National Bank of Canada’s forward-looking statements. This presentation may not be reproduced in whole or in part, or further distributed or published or referred to in any manner whatsoever, nor may the information, opinions or conclusions contained in it be referred to without in each case the prior express consent of National Bank.
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