The central bank is currently facing pressures as prices continue to incline after the improvement witnessed in the global economy which resulted in the incline of energy and primary commodity prices. Wholesale prices in India were up for the first time in 14 weeks to reach 0.12% during the week ending September 5 after declining 0.12% the previous week.
Interest rate hikes may be witnessed some time or another in the upcoming period after the global economy is now on the correct path to recovery. However, the RBI is attempting to delay these actions to benefit from the record low rates to support economic growth which has been easing lately due to waning global demand.
From here, the RBI continues to strengthen the national currency to appreciate in the markets to lower the cost of purchasing crude oil and imports that have taken a toll on company policies.
However, the central bank may face another problem if the rupee does for a fact appreciates in the markets, and that is expensive exports. An incline in the value of the currency will make Indian products more expensive abroad which may result in the loss of the current competitive edge it holds which will eventually start affecting growth rates that have already screeched to a halt on the backs of the worst financial crisis since WWII.
The rupee had appreciated 1.2% this year compared to Indonesia’s rupiah which had inclined 12% and the Korean won which advanced 4.1%. This may become the central’s bank next major obstacle as it attempts to bolster the economy while monitoring inflation rates closely where the bank believes that inflation is to surpass 5.2% after previous expectations of 5.0%.
The Reserve Bank of India has cut interest rates six times between October 2008 and April 2009 which were amid measures to weather the negative impact of the financial crisis. In addition, the central bank had then held rates steady at the last meeting at 3.25% while the repurchase rate was held at 4.75%.







