The Energy Report

Showdown on the shelf!

Tue, Jul 15 2008, 14:44 GMT
by Phil Flynn

Alaron


Show down on the shelf! The Outer Continental shelf that is! There may be coffee coming out of Brazil but there isn’t quite as much oil. Oil is still reeling from bank worries and the strength of the US dollar but has taken a time out to now worry about other issues.

Oil fell early in the session on hopes that the fall out from Fannie and Freddie situation would be contained and the fact that no one actually attacked Iran over the weekend and that Iran’s photo shop seemed to not be working. Yet the day would not be that easy in a session where emotions and the economy whipsawed back and forth. Oil seemed lost as to what direction to follow and was once again torn between oil being used as a hedge against systemic risk and oil as a simple supply versus demand commodity. Despite the ups and downs, oil is still perilously close to the all time high.

The first oil rally came on reports that the Brazilian labor union went on strike and closed down some of the Brazilian oil platforms. Bullish, but not bullish enough keep oil up all day.

Then came reports of other banking ills permeating the market place. Oil traders were perplexed.

Next came President Bush who in a great political move lifted the executive ban on offshore oil drilling. This is a reminder to everyone that the Democrats "no energy" Energy Policy is a dismal failure. Americans have woken up to the fact that the problem with sky high energy prices is not the oil companies fault and it is not the fault of speculators but is mainly the fault of the US Congress that has done everything it could to hamper and slow US oil production. The Democrats anti-energy policy is now coming home to roost. They have blocked energy at every step, raised tax on oil companies and have discouraged production. The Democrats celebrated when they blocked ANWAR which I predicted at the time would come back and bite them in their ANWAR. Now they feed us this story on how drilling is not going to solve the problem and other rubbish. The Dems say drilling for oil is dangerous and appear oblivious to the fact that many Americans are suffering because of their out-dated and harmful left wing ideology. The Democrats better come up with a solution as they are again on the wrong side of history and the American people are starting to get more than annoyed that Congress is indeed to blame. The Dems, instead of pointing fingers, should fix the problem. Of course being in Congress means never having to say you are sorry!

What is really sorry is that many of you have not demanded the Fox Business Network! Shame on you! Call your cable operator today! What is even more shameful is that you haven’t opened up your account with me!

Buy August crude at 14300 - stop 13900.

Sell August RBOB at 37500 - stop 37800.

Buy August heating oil at 39900 - stop 39700.

Buy August natural gas at 1140 - stop 1120.

Have a GREAT day!

Archive

Alaron Futures and Options  | 822 W. Washington Blvd. Chicago IL 60607
http://www.alaron.com | info@alaron.com

Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

Alaron Futures and Options, Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), clearing firm, specializes in futures, futures options, Forex and cash metals through AlaronFX for Retail, Introducing Brokers (IB's) and Institutions. Alaron is a clearing firm of The Chicago Mercantile Exchange, One Chicago and The Chicago Board of Trade and a member firm of Merchants' Exchange and NQLX. Alaron offers broker-assisted, single stock futures, discount, Simulated Trading, managed futures, access to several state-of-the art online trading platforms and systems trading. Trade online 24 hours a day! Direct-to-the market trading of E-Minis, Bonds and Notes, Single Stock Futures, Liffe, Eurex, Simex and more. The information and data in this report were obtained from sources considered reliable. Their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and the giving of the same is not to be deemed as an offer or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities or commodities. Alaron Trading Corp. its officers and directors may in the normal course of business have positions, which may or may not agree with the opinions expressed in this report. Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction.

Interested in forex trading? forex brokerage firms!


MG Financial Group
Contact the broker/FDM
Open a demo account
FOREX.com
Contact the broker/FDM
Open a demo account
NordMarkets.com
Contact the broker/FDM
Open a demo account
Saxo Bank A/S
Contact the broker/FDM
Open a demo account
Interactive Brokers LLC
Contact the broker/FDM
Open a demo account

FXstreet.com will give you a 3 months membership as soon as minimum rebates have been generated (€150 for private trader/ €300 for corporate trader)

[Read Premium full description]


Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer.

Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management.

Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

©2008 "FXstreet.com. The Forex Market" All Rights Reserved.