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Financial crisis update

Wed, Apr 2 2008, 12:43 GMT
by Danske Research Team

Danske Bank A/S


The aim of this publication is to provide an overview of current stories/issues in relation to the financial market crisis. We update this publication regularly (the previous Financial crisis Update was released on 12 March).

  • • The escalation of the financial crisis in mid-March and the downfall of Bear Stearns has been followed by a relief rally brought on by a series of Fed initiatives, JP Morgan’s offer to take over Bear Stearns and better than feared results from Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers and Morgan Stanley.

  • • Most markets have showed improvement in recent weeks, but the improvement is not total. Eg, money markets and municipalities have shown little or no progress recently.

  • • The financial crises have abated somewhat recently, but could flare up again with little or no warning. We doubt that we have seen the last bout of rising risk aversion and growing fear of systemic risks in the financial sector. However, what, when and how strong the next escalation of the financial crisis will be are questions tinged with much uncertainty.

Key things to watch going forward:

  • • Late April/early May - Monoliners start reporting Q1 08 results
  • • 17 April - Merrill Lynch Q1 2008 result
  • • 24 April - Credit Suisse Q1 2008 result
  • • 6 May - UBS Q1 2008 results
  • • A large number of European banks will also report results in the next couple of months
  • • How will the already implemented initiatives from the central banks work? And what new initiatives are in the pipeline? Especially BoE and ECB may announce changes shortly
  • • Early May - US Fed Senior Loan Officers Survey on Bank lending practices
  • • Early/mid April - ECB Bank Lending Survey

Archive

Danske Bank  | Holmens Kanal 2-12, DK-1092 Copenhagen
http://www.danskebank.com/ | danskeresearch@danskebank.com

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This publication has been prepared by Danske Bank for information purposes only. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial instrument. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure that its contents are not untrue or misleading, no representation is made as to its accuracy or completeness and no liability is accepted for any loss arising from reliance on it. Danske Bank, its affiliates or staff, may perform services for, solicit business from, hold long or short positions in, or otherwise be interested in the investments (including derivatives), of any issuer mentioned herein. Danske Bank's research analysts are not permitted to invest in securities under coverage in their research sector. This publication is not intended for private customers in the UK or any person in the US. Danske Bank A/S is regulated by the FSA for the conduct of designated investment business in the UK and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Copyright () Danske Bank A/S. All rights reserved. This publication is protected by copyright and may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission.


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