Executive Summary
Throughout this financial crisis, I have been approached repeatedly by people from all walks of life asking the question, “Is this the end of America as we know it?” Is the American Dream dead? Are we finally at the point where our nation and its economy have begun a downward spiral that will end the hegemony the United States has enjoyed since World War II? And if so, how will that affect the standard of living for the vast majority of Americans?
I am 46 years old and this is at least the third bout of self-confidence we have seen our nation struggle with. Both of those earlier struggles coincided with relatively long and deep recessions, 1973-75 and 1981-82. The current recession shares a great many similarities with those earlier downturns. In fact, we would go as far to say that the current recession incorporates the worst qualities of the two deepest prior postwar recessions. Given this scenario, the hit to consumer confidence and the nation’s psyche are understandable.
Not only were those two earlier downturns the longest and deepest recessions in the postwar period, but both were also transformational events that dramatically changed the way our economy has operated since. What drove economic growth prior to the recession essentially got hammered in the downturn, and the economic landscape looked vastly different in the ensuing recovery. Fear of the unknown is palatable, and the unknowns today are many.







