Fri, Aug 15 2008, 09:19 GMT
by Adam York, Mark Vitner
Consumers face one of the most challenging economic environments in decades, with a sluggish employment market, high energy prices, falling housing prices and tightening credit conditions combining to keep consumers away from stores and shopping malls. The tax rebates provided some temporary relief, but much of the benefit was offset by soaring energy costs, which took gasoline prices above $4 a gallon early this summer. Consumers are coping by cutting back on discretionary purchases, particularly for big-ticket items, travel and restaurant dining.
We expect consumer spending to weaken further during the second half of the year and expect outlays to fall at a 0.7 percent annual rate in both the third and fourth quarters. Reduced sales of motor vehicles, particularly SUVs and mini-vans, will account for most of that drop. Spending for other goods is also expected to decline, however. Services outlays, which account for around 60 percent of overall consumer spending, should continue to increase. But even here, growth will be slow as consumers are cutting back on everything from cable television to security services and yard maintenance.
Published on Fri, Aug 15 2008, 09:22 GMT
Wachovia Corporation
| P.O. Box 025383 Miami, FL 33102-5383
http://www.wachovia.com | sam.bullard@wachovia.com
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