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Global: Inflation expectations monitor
Tue, Jul 29 2008, 10:57 GMT
by Peter Possing Andersen
Credibility of monetary anchoring is vital to central banks. One important indicator of credibility is inflation expectations. Current elevated headline inflation has made the monitoring of expectations even more important. This monthly monitor tracks developments in the most recognised measures of inflation expectations in the US, Euroland, the UK, Norway and Sweden.
- • Consumer short-term inflation expectations have continued to trend higher in most of Europe, whereas they are unchanged in the US. The important long-term inflation expectation indicators have declined in the US and the UK.
- • Forecaster's inflation expectations generally remain relatively stable across the surveyed countries. The only exception is Sweden, where the Prospera five-year inflation forecast continues to move higher.
- • Market implied long-term inflation expectations still indicate an upward trend, but in the UK and Sweden expectations have rebounded somewhat in recent weeks.
Published on Tue, Jul 29 2008, 11:01 GMT
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