This report has been deactivated

0

0
Increase Your Gold Holdings Immediately!
Fri, Sep 19 2008, 14:13 GMT
by Larry Edelson
Money and Markets
Quite frankly — anyone who doesn't own gold in this environment has lost their marbles.
Consider the following ...
— The U.S. economy is experiencing its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have failed — the largest financial failures ever seen in this country. And the U.S. Treasury has guaranteed their $5.2 trillion of debt. Lehman Brothers has failed. Merrill Lynch has had to be sold off to help stop its bleeding.
The airline industry is broke. The big three auto manufacturers are all but officially bankrupt. And more woes are certainly coming.
— The U.S. dollar has lost 33% of its value in the last few years, AND IT IS probably GOING TO LOSE A LOT MORE.
How can it not decline in value? The Federal Reserve is now accepting as collateral everything from investment-grade bonds ... to mortgages ... and even common stock from failing institutions in exchange for lending (printing) up money and loaning it out.
That means the Federal Reserve's once pristine balance sheet — the assets behind the dollar — is now being massively diluted.
Just a little over a year ago nearly 100% of the Fed's balance sheet was invested in U.S. Treasury securities. Today, more than 40% of the Fed's balance sheet is invested in assets and securities that would otherwise be labeled junk in the private sector.
And keep in mind the dollar's 33% loss in purchasing power occurred BEFORE the recent dilution of the Fed's balance sheet.
But it's not just the Federal Reserve whose balance sheet is deteriorating. So is the U.S. Treasury's.
Our national Treasury is now on the hook for $5.2 trillion in Fannie and Freddie mortgage bonds. Not to mention the existing $9.6 trillion in national debt.
If just 10% of those mortgages go bad, the Treasury will take a $500 billion loss. If 20% go bad (not an unreasonable scenario), it will take a ONE TRILLION DOLLAR LOSS.
And since the Treasury is guaranteeing those mortgage bonds, and therefore must fund any losses on them — it will have to issue U.S. treasury bonds back to the Fed so the Fed can print the money to pay the Treasury's creditors. This includes hundreds of billions of dollars owed to foreign investors.
Oh, and let's not forget, the Federal Reserve will charge the Treasury interest on the money it prints.
So I ask you now: How can the dollar not go down? Other than an occasional short-term bounce, the value of the buck is destined to decline much further.
More ...
— Real interest rates remain negative, below the rate of inflation, and they will remain negative for some time.
In other words, it's cheaper to borrow dollars and speculate with them than it is with just about any other currency in the world.
In other words, negative real interest rates are bearish for the dollar. And when you hold dollars, you're losing out to inflation.
Period.
I haven't even begun to tell you the real nightmares for the U.S. dollar. I haven't even touched upon the $50 trillion in contingent liabilities in Social Security, Medicare, government pensions, money the FDIC will need, and more.
And there is no way, no how that any of these debts, liabilities, potential losses will ever be covered without a massive, ongoing devaluation of the U.S. dollar.
So why would you NOT want to own gold in this environment?
Gold is the only true form of money there is. It is no one else's liability. It has no board of directors manipulating its value. It has preserved its purchasing power for over 5,000 years of civilization. It has outperformed every paper currency on the planet.
Given all of the above, and more, I am now officially putting out an emergency buy signal in gold.
— If you don't own any gold, I urge you to buy some now.
— If you do own gold, I suggest you buy more, immediately!
The precious yellow metal — your vehicle to survive financially in the years ahead — recently fell back to major support at the $735 level.
It has since rallied back to $785. I believe the pullback I've been warning you about is now over.
But even if I'm wrong, and by some crazy fluke, the price of gold falls back to major long-term support at the $600 level, it would not be that big a deal.
Because I know that paper dollars are NOT where I want my money.
And because I have absolutely no doubt whatsoever that gold will ultimately reach at least $2,270 an ounce, and perhaps even higher.
I now suggest you seriously consider holding as much as 25% of your net worth in gold.
Here are the four best ways, and my suggested allocation would be one-fourth of your total liquid funds for gold going into each ...
1. Gold Bullion: I prefer the one- and five-ounce gold ingots available at most reputable gold dealers. Store in your bank's safety deposit box, or at home in a safe that's securely bolted to the floor.
2. The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD). This fund allows you to invest in an ETF that owns the physical gold for you, but without the storage hassles. Each share of the GLD equals 1/10 of an ounce of gold.
3. Gold stock mutual funds: Consider spreading this fourth of your gold funds as evenly as possible amongst three of my favorite funds: Tocqueville Gold Fund (TGLDX) ... U.S. Global Investors World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) ... and the U.S. Global Investors Gold and Precious Metals Shares (USERX).
4. Top-notch gold mining shares. This fourth is best suited for more accurate timing. See my Real Wealth Report for specific buy and sell recommendations.
Again, I suggest you allocate 25% of your net worth to gold holdings immediately. Do not wait.
Published on
Fri, Sep 19 2008, 14:16 GMT
Weiss Research, Inc
| 15430 Endeavour Drive. Jupiter, FL 33478-6400 - USA
http://www.moneyandmarkets.com | eletter@moneyandmarkets.com
Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure
Money and Markets e-newsletter is published by Weiss Research, Inc. Weiss Research, Inc. is strictly a research publishing firm and does not provide individual investment advice to its subscribers. The information we publish is based on our opinions plus our statistical and financial data and independent research. Although we make every effort to provide the most accurate and updated information possible, our information cannot take into consideration your personal finances and goals, and therefore is not intended to be used as customized recommendation to buy, hold, or sell securities, or engage in any trading strategy. Such recommendations may only be made by a personal advisor or the broker you select.
Most investments involve risk of loss. Although this service makes every effort to protect your principal, you can lose money. Therefore, it is not for all of your funds. If your goal for a certain portion of your funds is strictly capital preservation, we believe you should invest those funds in conservative investments such as short-term U.S. Treasury securities or equivalent. For more information on prudent investing, see also the information available at the websites of the Securities and Exchange Commission at www.sec.gov and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority at www.finra.org.
Most of the information we publish is derived from primary sources, including the U.S. government agencies as well as the financial institutions or publicly traded companies we cover. We believe our data sources are accurate, but we do not verify their accuracy independently. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. Nor do we guarantee the success of any investment decision you may make using our data, information, or recommendations.
To help us track the performance of this service, subscribers are asked to give their brokers’ permission to share statements with us strictly for the purpose of substantiating the results of the trading. If broker documents are available on a particular trade, we use them to calculate the net, after-commission profits on the trade. Naturally, the results of each subscriber may differ depending on the actual prices achieved and the commissions paid. If broker documents are not available on a trade, we estimate the pre-commission gains based on the market prices following the publication of each recommendation. In addition, examples of potential performance returns may sometimes be based on simulated — not actual — trades, assuming entry and exit prices that could have been obtained during regular market conditions. These entry and exit prices calculated do not reflect or include costs of spreads, market delays, or fees and commissions. Similar returns may or may not be actually achieved by subscribers.
While every effort is made to evaluate the actual experience of subscribers, most performance figures must be considered hypothetical, and past results are no guarantee of future performance. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
References to examples of past performance are not intended to provide a total picture of portfolio results. Your results may vary considerably depending on a series of factors, including: (a) when you begin or cease investing, (b) which recommendations you choose to act on, (c) how much money you choose to invest in each recommendation, (d) the specific prices you get, (e) the broker commissions you pay, (f) the interest income you earn on uninvested funds, and (g) the number and magnitude of losing or winning trades you experience.
With the exception of exempt securities such as government securities and mutual funds, all Weiss Group, Inc. and Weiss Research, Inc. personnel are prohibited from purchasing any security or investment that is recommended in its publications, per the company’s Personal Securities Transaction (PST) policy.
LIMITATION ON WEISS RESEARCH’S LIABILITY
Weiss Research’s liability, whether in contract, tort, negligence, or otherwise, shall be limited in the aggregate to direct and actual damages not to exceed the fees received by Weiss from Subscriber. Weiss will not be liable for consequential, incidental, punitive, special, exemplary, or indirect damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance upon any material provided by Weiss. Without limitation, Weiss shall not be responsible or liable for any loss or damages related to, either directly or indirectly, (1) any decline in market value or loss of any investment; (2) a subscriber’s inability to use or any delay in accessing the Weiss website or any other source of material provided by Weiss; (3) any absence of material on the Weiss website; (4) Weiss’ failure to deliver or delay in delivering any material or (5) any kind of error in transmission of material; or (6) the use by a subscriber of any research to invest in any way which may be deemed unsuitable in accordance with certain industry standards. Weiss and Subscriber acknowledge that, without limitation, the above-enumerated conditions cannot be the probable cause of any breach of any agreement between Weiss and Subscriber. "No-risk" and "risk-free" refer solely to the subscription price refund policy.
DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTY
ANY AND ALL MATERIAL PROVIDED BY WEISS IS PROVIDED "AS IS" AND WEISS MAKES NO WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANT ABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.