Gold
Gold had a fairly quiet day yesterday, prompted by the Labour Day
holiday in the US. This morning was a different story when gold, as
expected, broke through the psychological $1000/oz level in late Asian
trading. Initially, profit taking was seen at $1004/oz and the price
fell back to $1,000/oz prior to rallying to over $1,007/oz. Gold looks
very good technically and some investors are putting their trust in
gold to see whether it pushes to new record highs just above $1,030/oz.
Especially as extremely loose fiscal and monetary policies are likely
to create an inflation headache down the road. GFMS report that there
have recently been some "significant lumpy transactions" and "a degree
of illiquidity" in the physical market which is a development worth
monitoring. With large hedge funds and central banks (such as the
Russian and People's Bank of China) diversifying into physical bullion,
investment demand remains as robust as ever and looks set to overpower
the significant decline in jewellery demand and demand from the Indian
subcontinent. The United Nations UNCTAD report warning that the
"economic winter" was not over and calling for a new global reserve
currency may have led to some buying also. Gold is currently trading at
$1005/oz.
Silver
Silver is continuing to surge and is already up by over 2% in dollar
terms. This is a new 13 month peak and although silver seems to be
overbought at these levels, a massive correction may not be as
inevitable as commented on yesterday. If gold holds on to its gains
over the $1000/oz level, investors might not be so quick to take
profits on silver- to see whether silver can continue to outperform
gold or at least mirror its trajectory for the time being. While silver
is overbought by some technical measures the important Commitment of
Traders report shows that the silver open interest went up 4094
contracts yesterday to 112,394. While this is a new recent high,
silver's open interest high is around 150,000, so it has room for
another 40,000 new longs to enter the market prior to the rally being
overbought. Silver at over $20/oz remains viable before the end of 2009.
Platinum group metals
Platinum has pushed up to $1,272/oz, palladium is mounting a fresh
assault on $300/oz, currently trading at $297/oz and rhodium is at
$1,550/$1,650/oz.







