Gold
After falling by nearly $30/oz on Tuesday, to $926/oz, gold experienced
a mini rally yesterday moving back to $938/oz in early trading. Whether
this is a temporary bounce after a significant sell off remains to be
seen. Better than expected US jobless figures, a rally in equity
markets and strong demand for the 7 year US Treasury Bill issue
yesterday, may detract from gold and a further correction may be
imminent. If the metal does not hold above $945/oz then a move to the
downside of $905/oz would be more likely. However, this would present
an excellent buying opportunity as the longer term view of gold is
extremely bullish with $1,033/oz an achievable target in the coming
months.
Silver
Whilst silver tends to hang on to the coattails of any short term move
in the gold market, technically it is underperforming gold at the
moment. If silver does not maintain a hold above $14.20/oz this would
post a bearish signal and a move downwards. Possibly mid $12s/oz could
be the next stop. However, some analysts believe that the fact that
large shorts are not shorting silver as much as gold as seen in the
commitment of traders report, could lead to silver decoupling from gold
and significantly outperforming gold on the upside in the coming
months.
Platinum group metals
Platinum regained some ground yesterday moving from $1,169/oz to
$1,185/oz boosted by strong buying interest on the Shanghai Gold
Exchange. $1,200/oz is still a strong resistance level. Palladium is
$256/oz and rhodium is $1,575/$1,675/oz.







