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Flash Comment
Swine flu: WHO raises alert level to 4
Tue, Apr 28 2009, 10:37 GMT
by Peter Possing Andersen, Lars Christensen
Danske Bank A/S | View company's profile
- WHO has raised its pandemic alert level to 4 (out of 6) from 3 indicating a significant increase in the risk of a pandemic
- Swine flu has now been confirmed in Europe. Latest cases in Spain and Scotland
- The concerns over swine flu continue to weigh on the markets. The Mexican markets are especially hard hit
Recent news
We continue our regular updates on the swine flu situation:
- a. Last night the World Health Organisation (WHO) raised its pandemic alert level to 4 from 3. A level 4 alert level indicates a “significant increase in risk of a pandemic”. There had earlier been some indications that the alert would be raised to 5.
- b. WHO flu expert Dr Keiji Fukuda yesterday was quoted for saying “Containment is not a feasible operation”.
- c. Swine flu has now been confirmed in Europe. In Spain one man has been tested positive for swine flu while 17 other people are under investigation for possible infection. Furthermore, two people have been admitted to hospital in Scotland for treatment for mild cases of swine flu.
Market impact
The worries over swine flu continue to weigh on the market (in combination with jitters about the US bank test results) and risk aversion seems to have risen further. Yesterday the Mexican stock market dropped 3.5%. That said, even though we see rising risk aversion on the back of the continued worries over swine flu, the markets are not panicking and one might in fact say that swine flu is being used as an excuse to reduce risk after a period of increased risk appetite.
Note that during the SARS episode in Asia the markets did not fall off a cliff, but were hit gradually as the news flow about the outbreak evolved.
Published on Tue, Apr 28 2009, 10:41 GMT
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Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure
This publication has been prepared by Danske Bank for information purposes only. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial instrument. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure that its contents are not untrue or misleading, no representation is made as to its accuracy or completeness and no liability is accepted for any loss arising from reliance on it. Danske Bank, its affiliates or staff, may perform services for, solicit business from, hold long or short positions in, or otherwise be interested in the investments (including derivatives), of any issuer mentioned herein. Danske Bank's research analysts are not permitted to invest in securities under coverage in their research sector. This publication is not intended for private customers in the UK or any person in the US. Danske Bank A/S is regulated by the FSA for the conduct of designated investment business in the UK and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Copyright () Danske Bank A/S. All rights reserved. This publication is protected by copyright and may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission.Related reports
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