Overview: On Wednesday night the Federal Open Market Committee published the minutes of the October 28-29 monetary policy meeting. It is very clear from them that all committee members are highly aware of the state of financial markets and the outlook for growth. Indeed several members indicated that there is an increasing concern within the committee about deflation. The minutes suggest that further policy easing is very likely at the December meeting. We expect a 50bp cut to 0.50% in line with markets.