Emerging Markets outlook
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Credit scare what about Emerging Markets?
Thu, Aug 2 2007, 06:51 GMT
by Danske Research EmergingMarkets Team
Danske Bank A/S | View company's profile
Emerging markets are vulnerable...
- Recent turmoil in the sub-prime mortgage market and credit market in general could be regarded as the start of re-pricing of risks on a global scale and risk premiums returning to “normal” levels or worse the start of a global credit crunch.
- As yet the impact of the credit scare has been modest on emerging markets but they are vulnerable and could be next in line.
...and focus should return to fundamentals
- The risk of further worsening of global credit conditions warrants a reduced exposure to high emerging markets currencies such as the TRY, ZAR, IDR, PHP and MXN.
- With possible re-pricing of risk we will be looking for emerging markets with solid domestic and external balances such as the CIS markets and some of the Asian markets.
Published on
Thu, Aug 2 2007, 06:54 GMT
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