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Old Sep 22, 2008, 06:43   #1
nouradean10
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Default Daily Market Report For All Majors

Weekly Market Report
Black week for all world stock exchanges
The crisis did not end and the worst didn’t came yet

That’s what I could describe last week as a black week for all stock markets and the global economy, the crisis is still ongoing and did not end and the worst still on the way to hit more global economies

This is described by most analysts around the world as a black week for exchanges and the global economy, clearly floundering and exchanges in the entire world as banks
Large international banks facing financial problems and the bankruptcy of some of them save and lend to others as mortgage companies

At the beginning of week, the U.S. Treasury secretary, Mr. Paulson on Sunday before the opening of international markets that the U.S. government expelled the chief executives of both companies Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae company, as the U.S.government has appointed new executives of the companies selected to be in the hands of the U.S. government to find the cause These two companies because of the mortgage crisis as the two of the largest companies that specialize in real estate loans

Which led to the opening of global markets and the decline of large recording the biggest loss in more than 10 years ago, which led to a loss of investor risk appetite and most of the investors withdraw their money from most world markets so that this crisis also weighed on the markets of all the Arab and especially the Saudi bourse Which is the largest and most Arab stock markets recorded losses recovery has not recorded more than 5 years

In mid-week ago, there were a problem on the horizon, the world's largest bank which is Lehman’s Brothers announced that negotiations with international banks and companies to borrow funds to cover the deficit and liquidity developments but it was unsuccessfully the bank where the use of so-called item No. 13 Of the Charter of international banks which means that the bank declared bankruptcy, which has hit all bourses Laboring again

The U.S. Federal Bank moved more rapidly to pump more than 70 billion dollars in the financial system to cover the liquidity and calm the markets but without avail as all banks in the world to pump liquidity in the financial systems for fear of the collapse of
world markets and an attempt to calm the markets, and the total sum of liquidity which has been pumped in the market including the U.S. Federal 250 billion, which represents a quarter trillion U.S. dollars

At the end of the week, the American International Group (AIG) request for assistance from the U.S. federal bank after if stalled because of mortgage crisis

So the U.S Federal Bank rescue AIG while it announced interest rate decision, the Fed lend AIG a loan of approximately $ 65 billion, provided that the U.S. Federal Bank is running the equivalent of 80% of the assets, including stocks

The U.S Federal Bank made an unexpected move, it leave the interest rate on hold at 2.00% beside there were 80% of financial analyst is expecting that the FED will cut the rate by more than 25 basis point




Dollar Index

The dollar index made a good retracement to 61.8% Fibonacci and back up again but without breaking 23.6% Fibonacci

The US dollar continue the week traveling in a side way trading between 23.6% and 61.8% Fibonacci levels and closed the week above 61.8% Fibonacci level
The most important news this week, U.S. Congress presented a plan to rescue the troubled banks and companies a cost of 700 billion U.S. dollars

The plan came after the bankruptcy of more than 4 companies and many banks requested to lend from the Federal Reserve to solve the mortgage problems
All eyes are now on whether this plan will ease this problem and protect the banks and real estate companies in bankruptcy or insolvency

The market now in anticipation of what impact it will have through this plan
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Last edited by nouradean10; Sep 22, 2008 at 06:47.
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Old Sep 22, 2008, 06:45   #2
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Default British Pound

Correction week

As we expected the British pound continue with the correction, it approach the important level at 38.2% to the upside from the down side move from 2.0000 to 1.7481

Now the pair closed last week under 38.2% Fibonacci level, also it couldn’t break it last week

For that reason I expect that the pair will resume its down trend soon to record a New Year low

By looking at Stochastic Oscillator we can see that it’s over bought

Also Relative Strength Index pointing a little to the upside as much as it’s under 60.00

The general trend is down as far as 1.8780 remain intact

Targets at 1.7320, 1.7180 and 1.7042

Resistance 1.8355 1.8410 1.8475 1.8500

Support 1.8300 1.8240 1.8166 1.8050
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Old Sep 22, 2008, 06:50   #3
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Default Eurusd

Correction week

As we expected the British pound continue with the correction, it approach the important level at 23.6% and continue to the upside heading near 38.2% from the down side move from 1.5750 to 1.3868

Now the pair closed last week under 38.2% Fibonacci level, also it couldn’t break it last week because of the resistance level at 1.4477

For that reason I expect that the pair will resume its down trend soon with 60% chance that the pair may go to 38.2 before it continue its down trend

By looking at Stochastic Oscillator we can see that it’s below over bought

Also Relative Strength Index pointing a little to the upside as much as it’s under 60.00

The general trend is down as far as 1.4780 remain intact

Targets at 1.4100, 1.4010 and 1.3824

Resistance 1.4500 1.4560 1.4590 1.4635

Support 1.4420 1.4360 1.4290 1.4235
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Old Sep 22, 2008, 06:52   #4
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Default Usdchf

Correction week, as all pairs

As we expected the Swiss franc continue with the correction, it approach the important level at 23.6% and continue to the upside heading near 38.2% from the up side move from 1.0006 to 1.1416

Now the pair closed last week under 23.6% Fibonacci level, also it couldn’t break it last week because of the resistance level at 1.1088

For that reason I expect that the pair will start to rebound again to the upside

By looking at Stochastic Oscillator we can see that the pair is Semi oversold

Relative Strength Index is flat at the moment

The general trend is up as far as 1.0750 remain intact

Targets at 1.1320, 1.1480 and 1.1825

Resistance 1.1085 1.1135 1.1205 1.1286

Support 1.1030 1.0950 1.0910 1.0875
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Old Sep 22, 2008, 06:54   #5
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Default Usdjpy

Finally, the Japanese yen covered the big gap which happens by the beginning of last week with a test of 55 day moving average but without any break or closing above it

Also the pair made a good retracement wave to 38.2% Fibonacci level also it went down near 50.0% Fibonacci level from the upside move from 95.68 to 110.68

After covering this gap I think that the pair will resume its uptrend again but first it must test 55 day moving average and close above it at 107.87

The general trend is up as far as 101.30 remain intact

Targets at 108.68, 109.20 and 110.60

Resistance 108.10 108.70 109.68 11043

Support 107.00 106.55 106.00 105.76
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Old Sep 23, 2008, 06:40   #6
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Default 23-Sept-2008

Correction maybe finished

As expected, the pair continues to go up approaching the upper line of the minor uptrend channel, there is still 60% chance that the pair may went to 50.0% Fibonacci as a final correction move

I think that the pair finished its correction and it will resume its down trend soon

All eyes now on the decision of the US Congress and what it will do for the market or for the dollar in general

Stochastic Oscillator changed its direction to flat

Relative strength index is flat too

The general trend still down as far 1.9210 remain intact

Targets at 1.7320, 1.7180 and 1.7042

Resistance 1.8655 1.8710 1.8780 1.8836
Supports 1.8610 1.8565 1.8500 1.8445
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Old Sep 23, 2008, 06:42   #7
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Default Eurusd

Correction maybe finished, same scenario as the British Pound

As we expect the euro continue to correct to the upside approaching 38.2% Fibonacci level but it couldn’t hold, the pair continue to hike up above that point and close the day near 50.0% Fibonacci level which I expect that the pair will resume its down trend after it
approach that level as a final retracement move

Stochastic Oscillator is over bought

Relative strength index is pointing to the upside; this is a sign that the pair still has some strength to go up a little bit to 50.0%Fibonacci level

The general trend still down as far as 1.5210

Targets at 1.4042, 1.3900 and 1.3824

Resistance 1.4850 1.4885 1.4925 1.4968

Support 1.4810 1.4766 1.4705 1.4687
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Old Sep 23, 2008, 06:44   #8
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Default Usdchf

With an unexpected move the Swiss franc continue to fall down and breaks 50.0% Fibonacci level and close the day under it, our view will change for a while to continue with its down move wave

At this time the pair will face a strong support at 1.0629 if this level holds I think that the pair will rebound back up again, if not the pair will continue to go lower till it approach 61.8% Fibonacci level before it rebound back up again

We have to keep in mind that there is still an uncovered gap as shown on the chart at 1.1305

Stochastic Oscillator is over sold

Relative strength index is flat likely to the down side

I prefer to stand aside from this pair till it cover the gap then we will decide if the pair will continue its way to our targets or if there is still some retracement
The general trend is up as far as 1.0010 remain solid

Targets at 1.1420 and 1.1480

Resistance 1.0735 1.0790 1.0823 1.0885

Support 1.0680 1.0645 1.0585 1.0540
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Old Sep 23, 2008, 06:45   #9
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Default Usdjpy

The Japanese yen did not cover gap of the week yet

The pair is getting its strength from the carry trade
Most of investors this week selling the yen to buy risks so that’s why the dollar is still under pressure versus the Japanese yen

I prefer to stand aside until the pair cover its gap so we can study the chart then we can know where is the next move will be

Oscillators are falling
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Old Sep 24, 2008, 07:22   #10
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Default British Pound

Correction maybe finished

The British pound traveled in a range trading yesterday between high at 1.8633 and low at 1.8471, the pair tried to break 38. 2 Fibonacci level to the down side many times but this level holds

We have two spikes up on the chart at 1.8642 which now created a strong resistance; any break for that level will lead the pair to reach 50.0% as a final correction move before it resume its downtrend

All eyes now still on the decision of the US Congress and what it will do for the market or for the dollar in general

Stochastic Oscillator is turning lower

Relative strength index still flat

The general trend still down as far 1.9210 remain intact

Targets at 1.7320, 1.7180 and 1.7042
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