Characteristic: Support and Resistance Indicator
Parameter Defaults:     MA Period 9     controls the measurement period for the average
  Percent Width     2 controls the percentage distance of the envelope from the MA
Plots: MaEnv_T Envelope top
  MaEnv_B Envelope bottom

Moving Average Envelopes are calculated by taking a moving average, and calculating upper and lower trading bands as a fixed percentage above and below the moving average respectively.

These are considered to suggest extreme overbought or oversold conditions, and to identify trading ranges by the assumption that price should not deviate from the average of the underlying price element (high or low) by the percentage utilized.

However, it is important to ensure that price is not trending otherwise false signals will be generated.

USD/CHF (1 day 3 yr.)

The chart above displays the daily USDCHF market with touches by price of either envelope in either dark red or magenta. Where marked in dark red it can be seen that price is not making new extremes. It is important to remember that a trend is defined as higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) or lower lows and lower highs (downtrend).

At each of the points where the price touch is ringed in dark red it can be seen that price is still moving within recent price ranges and not establishing new extremes. At these points a reaction is seen against the main direction of price. This may not be sustained, but there is sufficient movement to provide a short term trade and profit.

At each of the points where the price touch is ringed in magenta it can be seen that price is establishing new extremes beyond the recent range. These trades provide greater risk and should be avoided.

Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure

Pro Commentary, FX-Strategy, FX-Strategy Pro Charts, and any related products or services, are analytical tools only and are not intended to replace individual research. The information provided here should not be relied on as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your trading/investment decisions. FX-Strategy is merely providing this service for your general information. No representation is being made that any software or training will guarantee profits or not result in losses from trading. The views are not necessarily those of FX-Strategy, its owners, officers, agents or employees. In addition any projections or views of the market provided may not prove to be accurate. FX-Strategy will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this service. Be sure to closely read and understand the risks of foreign currency trading as described on the FX-Strategy website.