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Start Trading Real Money Early
Wed, Jun 14 2006, 09:04 GMT
by John Forman
Anduril, Inc.
Take a look at Figure 1 and Figure2. Can you tell the difference?
Figure 1:
Figure 2:
They look identical, don’t they? They should. It’s the same instrument.
It’s the same data. It’s the same trading platform. Even still, though,
if you have a position on in this market, the two charts could look
quite different, depending on whether you are trading a demo account or
with your own real money, especially if you are new to trading.
Actually, if you’ve just switched from demo to live trading, you’re
probably looking at Figure 3, which is the 5 minute version of the
other, hourly, charts.
Figure 3:
Why is this? Because things change when you
actually have money at risk. For a lot of new traders, the transition
from paper trading to real trading is a traumatic one. The relaxed,
confident individual is replaced by someone who is suddenly compelled
to watch the market tick-by-tick, someone who hesitates to pull the
trigger on trades, someone who second-guesses her/himself, and/or
someone who finds her/himself less willing to take on risk.
The limits of demo trading
Let’s face it. Trading on a demo platform is
essentially a game. There is no real risk involved. As such it does not
replicate real trading, at least from an emotional perspective. Yes, a
good demo platform provides the trader with a look at how prices move,
how transactions are handled, how profits and losses are derived, and
all that important stuff. As such, it is an invaluable resource to
someone new to trading as they learn the steps. A demo platform is also
a great tool for the design and testing of new strategies.
Paper trading, though, cannot suitably create the same kind of
mental scenarios one faces when actual money is on the line, though.
This is a hugely important part of trading.
The markets will strip you down. Of that you can absolutely be
sure. If you have some flaw in your work ethic, discipline, motivation,
or anything else, trading will expose it. Some things may come to light
through demo trading, but more than likely they will be overlooked
because that kind of trading “doesn’t really matter” so one has no real
motivation to address anything of that sort. It is when real money is
on the line that the cracks in one’s make-up really show. The earlier a
trader can figure out what her/his personal weaknesses are, the quicker
they can be addressed.
Successful traders are the ones that understand their personal
flaws. They either find ways to exploit their strengths while keeping
their weaknesses out of play, or make personal adjustments to get rid
of those habits which cause them trouble.
Pitfalls of going live
In this modern day, demo trading and real-life
trading is mostly very close. In some cases, brokers have identical
platforms for both. Other do not, though. That means trade executions
could be significantly different, especially during high volatility
periods such as when major economic releases are reported. This sort of
thing can make a very meaningful difference between how one’s trading
goes when demo trading and when it gets shifted to real-world.
From the mental side of things, traders seem to go one of two ways
when they first trade with real money. They are fearful, afraid of
losing money, or supremely confident, sure that they will succeed.
Those with trepidation generally suffer from second-guessing, failure
to pull the trigger, and general uncertainty. The confident traders
often fly by the seat of their pants, put on trades too big for them,
and generally fail to follow their plan.
Interestingly, both types of traders can find themselves following
a similar path as they first put their own money at stake. The tendency
is to spend too much time in front of the screen – regardless of the
actual trading timeframe in question. This is represented by our
discussion of Figure 3 earlier. New traders often have their market
focus zoomed in to an extreme – living and dying with every change in
price. And depending on whether their first trade is a winner or loser,
they can flip personality types, with the fearful one becoming
confident and the confident one becoming fearful.
This whole period of getting overly focused on short-term price
action (relatively speaking) doesn’t just stop at producing manic
emotions. It can actually lead to a destructive pattern of
over-analysis. One side of that is the hesitant behavior mentioned
earlier in regards to fearful traders second-guessing and/or failing to
pull the trigger. Call that over-thinking.
The other side of over-analysis is actually that one literally
generates new analysis much too frequently. This is a major trap for
professional analysts who are expected to always have something new to
say. They essentially reanalyze the market with each new price bar. The
result is that their analysis never has an opportunity to mature one
way or the other. Because of how focused new traders often are on every
price move, significant or otherwise, they also struggle with
over-analysis in much the same way. It leads to things like
flip-flopping positions, not out of fear, but because of a new outlook
on the market.
Further, over-analysis has a very dangerous cousin in the form of
over-trading. If one is constantly reanalyzing the market, then it is
likely that he/she is trading more frequently than perhaps is best.
This is a different kind of over-trading from taking on positions which
are too large relative to one’s capitalization (a money management
discussion for another day), but can be equally as destructive – more
so in some ways.
Learning from the jump
So what can a novice trader do to learn the
most when making the move to live trading while keeping the “tuition”
as low as possible? First and foremost, trading small is imperative.
Trade the least amount permissible in terms of size. This will allow
for the making of all kinds of mistakes without doing too much harm to
one’s financial standing. Education costs money one way or another, but
there’s nothing which says one has to pay more than is necessary. In
modern trading there are so many options for trading small positions
that there is no excuse for the new trader to take oversized losses.
If one starts off trading small, miniscule even, then the focus can
really be on what is important – learning about the practical aspects
of trading. That includes both the price and execution side of things
where it relates to variances between demo and live trading platforms.
Even more importantly, it also means learning what kind of
psychological impact trading is going to have.
A major learning element of moving to live trading is in the area
of risk tolerance. The reality of facing losses in actual money terms
forces a great many traders in to reevaluating their personal risk
profile. Considering how important this is to one’s trading plan, it is
something very significant in the education of a new market
participant.
The other big element one must evaluate when shifting from demo to
live trading is discipline. This is something which is spoken about
over and over and over again as being perhaps the single biggest
deciding factor in a trader’s success. It is the ability to stick to
one’s plan. Moving in to real money trading tests the novice trader’s
discipline in so many ways. Those that go on to have success have good
discipline, either in terms of finding a trading style which matches
their personality (making discipline easy) or developing a basic
grit-your-teeth kind of focus on executing.
If one gets nothing more than a better understanding of her/his
personal risk tolerance and the importance of maintaining good
discipline, then making the jump to live trading early is more than
worth the cost of whatever losses might have be incurred. Anything else
is a welcome bonus.
Conclusion
Learning to trade is all about getting to the
point of being successful with real money in real market situations.
Demo trading definitely has its place, but the introduction of live
trading early in one’s development can accelerate the overall rate of
learning by showing one exactly what must be addressed for success,
mechanically and mentally.
It is hard to ensure a level of success in the process, as one
might do in other learning environments. After all, the market doesn’t
care whether you have two minutes trading experience or two decades. It
will treat you the same. At least, however, one can minimize the
potential damage by taking baby steps and trading very small when the
initial plunge is made.
What’s more, there is nothing to say that once one jumps in to real
money trading that he/she cannot move back over to demo trading. In
fact, that can be a great way to develop solid trading methods, ones
which can be researched with no monetary risk, but with a clear
understanding of how implementation will take place in a live
situation. All the more reason to get exposed to live trading as early
as possible.
Published on
Wed, Jun 14 2006, 11:31 GMT
Anduril, Inc.
| 5600 Post Road 114-253, East Greenwich, RI 02818
http://www.andurilonline.com | author@theessentialsoftrading.com
Legal disclaimer and risk disclosure
All rights reserved. No responsibility is assumed for the use of this material and no express or implied warranties or guarantees are made. This information is intended for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed as an offer to buy/sell a commodity, security, option, or futures contract. The author or authors, the officer(s) of Anduril, Inc., and and/or Anduril, Inc. may have or enter into positions in any securities discussed. Reproduction without written permission is strictly prohibited. Copyright © 2009
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