This week we present one technical view: USD/JPY – above 119.97 to commence an advance to 126.25.
USD/JPY is forming a multi-week continuation pattern following the last up-leg from the mid-October 2014 low at 105.20. The stochastic indicator has recently crossed higher to signal the upswing off the marginally higher high at 115.85. This should extend towards key resistance at 119.97, the 9 January lower high and approximate upper continuation trendline.
The longer term trend and structure remain firmly positive and an eventual break above 119.97 would resume the advance. The immediate target would be 121.86, the current cycle high, above which would pivot a challenge on the November 2007 peak at 124.14. Through here then opens the November 2002 lower ceiling at 125.73. However, the continuation structure projects gains beyond here to the 126.25 region.
The115.49 to 115.85 region should continue to underpin the congestive phase. This area houses the 38.2% retracement level of the 105.20 to 121.86 rise and the 16 December and 16 January 2015 lows. Below here would risk a temporary setback towards the 50% retracement level at 113.53.
USD/JPY – above 119.97 to commence an advance to 126.25
- Strategy summary – above 119.97 to commence an advance to 124.14 and then 126.25. Support comes in at 115.57/49.
USD/JPY is forming a multi-week continuation pattern following the last up-leg from the mid-October 2014 low at 105.20. The stochastic indicator has recently crossed higher to signal the upswing off the marginally higher high at 115.85. This should extend towards key resistance at 119.97, the 9 January lower high and approximate upper continuation trendline.
The longer term trend and structure remain firmly positive and an eventual break above 119.97 would resume the advance. The immediate target would be 121.86, the current cycle high, above which would pivot a challenge on the November 2007 peak at 124.14. Through here then opens the November 2002 lower ceiling at 125.73. However, the continuation structure projects gains beyond here to the 126.25 region.
The115.49 to 115.85 region should continue to underpin the congestive phase. This area houses the 38.2% retracement level of the 105.20 to 121.86 rise and the 16 December and 16 January 2015 lows. Below here would risk a temporary setback towards the 50% retracement level at 113.53.
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