NZD/USD 4H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: NZD/USD has been in a distinct up-trend since the mid-November, when it turned around after hitting 0.6430. The downside risks, however, have greatly increased recently. The currency pair is approaching a critical resistance level at the moment, namely the October high at 0.69. Above it the Kiwi should aim for the upper boundary of the channel at 0.70, followed by the June high at 0.7230. Alternatively, a failure here would imply a sell-off to the lower boundary of the pattern at 0.68, before there is another attempt to break higher. In the meantime, we should note that the New Zealand is far from being overbought in the SWFX market—60% of open positions are short.
AUD/CAD 4H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: Although AUD/CAD has been struggling with resistance at 1.0110 lately, the risks are considered to be heavily skewed to the upside. The currency pair is trading within a well-defined channel, and most of the technical indicators are currently pointing north. At the same time, there is still room for more bulls to join the trend, being that only 34% of open positions are long. The present target is the September high at 1.0250. However, the outlook will be changed if the price dips through the support up-trend at 1.0050. In this case the exchange rate will be expected to descend down to 0.9840, namely the Dec 15 low, while extra demand is at 0.9780, represented by the 200-period SMA.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.0800 as trading action turns subdued
EUR/USD holds steady near 1.0800 on Thursday and remains on track to end the day in negative territory following upbeat macroeconomic data releases from the US. The action in financial markets turn subdued as trading volumes thin out heading into Easter holiday.
GBP/USD extends sideways grind above 1.2600
GBP/USD fluctuates in a narrow channel above 1.2600 on Thursday. The better-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims data from the US and the upward revision to the Q4 GDP growth help the USD stay resilient against its rivals and limits the pair's upside.
Gold pulls away from daily highs, holds above $2,200
Gold retreats from daily highs but holds comfortably above $2,200 in the American session on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays near 4.2% after upbeat US data and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather further bullish momentum.
XRP price falls to $0.60 support as Ripple ruling doesn’t help Coinbase lawsuit against SEC
XRP programmatic sales ruling by Judge Torres was completely rejected by another US Court that ruled in favor of the SEC in a lawsuit against Coinbase.
Portfolio rebalancing and reflation trades emerge into Q2
Yesterday’s price action pointed at a possible end-of-quarter portfolio rebalancing as the session saw the laggards of the quarter like Apple and Tesla gain, and the stars like Microsoft and Nvidia retreat.