EUR/SGD 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: EUR/SGD appears to be in a good position to rebound. The currency pair is approaching the lower boundary of the channel it has recently formed, which is also reinforced by the weekly PP. At the same time, most of the four-hour and daily technical indicators are pointing upwards. Moreover, the Euro is oversold in the SWFX market, where 71% of open positions are short. Accordingly, we expect the price to bottom out near 1.5440 and surpass the Dec 11 high at 1.56.
Meanwhile, a close beneath 1.5440 will imply a sell-off down to the December low at 1.5319. Additional support is at 1.5278/65, created by the weekly S1 and 200-hour SMA.
CAD/CHF 1H Chart: Falling Wedge
Comment: We are receiving conflicting signals on CAD/CHF. From one side, the outlook is bearish, being that the exchange rate is beneath the long-term moving average and a majority of the four-hour and daily indicators is giving ’sell’ signals.
On the other hand, the currency pair is forming a falling wedge, which is a reversal pattern, and two thirds of open positions are short. Accordingly, we should wait for a break-out from the pattern before making a near-term forecast. If CAD/CAD closes above 0.72, the focus will shift to the December 10 high at 0.73, while a dip through 0.7120 will highly likely lead to a decline down to 0.6970, the lowest level since this year’s August.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD trades weak below 1.0800 amid Good Friday lull, ahead of US PCE
EUR/USD remains depressed below 1.0800 after soft French inflation data, amid minimal volatility and thin liquidity on Good Friday. The pair keenly awaits the US PCE inflation data and Fed Chair Powell's speech for fresh hints on next week's price action.
GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2600 as markets stay calm on Good Friday
GBP/USD trades sideways above 1.2600 amid a typical Good Friday trading lull. A broadly firmer US Dollar could keep any upside attempts limited in the pair ahead of the US PCE inflation data and Fed Chair Powell's appearance.
Gold price sits at all-time highs above $2,230, US PCE eyed
Gold price hit all-time highs at $2,236 on Thursday to finish Q1 2024 with a bang. Most major world markets, including the US are closed due to Holy Friday, leaving volatility around Gold price highly subdued. US PCE inflation and Powell are awaited.
Jito price could hit $6 as JTO coils up inside this bullish pattern
Jito (JTO) price has been on an uptrend since forming a local bottom in early January. Since then, JTO has revisited the key swing point formed in early December, suggesting the bulls’ intention to move higher.
Key events in developed markets next week
Next week, the main focus will be inflation and the labour market in the Eurozone. We expect services inflation to be impacted by the easter effect, while the unemployment rate to be unchanged.