We expect the US Dollar to strenghten this week ahead of the labor market data on Friday (forecasts are upbeat). Given this view, EUR/USD is a SELL these days with a target of 1.0950. Technical picture confirms the ideas as the pair pulled back from the 55-week MA, forming a long-legged red candle last week. Watch the unemployment rate in the euro area tomorrow.

GBP/USD also looks bearish this week, but the doji candle formed last Friday creates room for a bullish pullback. We recommend selling on rallies to 1.5480 (former trend support), targeting 1.5330. Watch the UK Manufacturing PMI tomorrow.

As for AUD/USD, the pair is trading in the red ahead of the RBA meeting on Tuesday. No rate cut is expected, so the pair could get temporary support from this side. This would become a good point to sell on rallies. Don't miss China's PMI indices on Tuesday - data could become a negative surprise for the commodity currencies. 

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures