AUD/CHF 4H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: The risks for AUD/CHF are heavily skewed to the downside at the moment. For one, the currency pair has recently formed a descending triangle, a pattern that indicates growing supply. In addition, the exchange rate is fluctuating right at the intersection of two major trend-lines: one joins the peaks of the last 13 months and the other is more than three and a half years old. Accordingly, we would expect the Aussie to decline. The immediate support is at 0.7350, represented by the monthly R1, followed by the lower bound of the pattern circa 0.73 francs. At the same time, the Australian Dollar is moderately overbought in the SWFX market—56% of open positions are long, which only adds to the bearish bias towards the pair.
XAU/USD 4H Chart: Channel Down
Comment: There is a potential bearish channel emerging in the four-hour gold chart, meaning the latest rally from 1,208 is about to come to an end. The ceiling is assumed to be at 1,253, where we expect the price to top out and begin a new downward wave towards the lower edge of the pattern. However, we should be wary that the technical indicators, especially in the four-hour and weekly time frames, are mostly pointing north, and the precious metal appears to be near the oversold area, being that 60.50% of currently open positions in the SWFX marketplace are short. Accordingly, XAU/USD may well manage to close above the red trend-line, and then the near-term focus will shift towards the March 17 high.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD hovers around 1.0700 ahead of German IFO survey
EUR/USD is consolidating recovery gains at around 1.0700 in the European morning on Wednesday. The pair stays afloat amid strong Eurozone business activity data against cooling US manufacturing and services sectors. Germany's IFO survey is next in focus.
GBP/USD steadies near 1.2450, awaits mid-tier US data
GBP/USD is keeping its range at around 1.2450 in European trading on Wednesday. A broadly muted US Dollar combined with a risk-on market mood lend support to the pair, as traders await the mid-tier US Durable Goods data for further trading directives.
Gold: Defending $2,318 support is critical for XAU/USD
Gold price is nursing losses while holding above $2,300 early Wednesday, stalling its two-day decline, as traders look forward to the mid-tier US economic data for fresh cues on the US Federal Reserve interest rates outlook.
Crypto community reacts as BRICS considers launching stablecoin for international trade settlement
BRICS is intensifying efforts to reduce its reliance on the US dollar after plans for its stablecoin effort surfaced online on Tuesday.
Three fundamentals for the week: US GDP, BoJ and the Fed's favorite inflation gauge stand out Premium
While it is hard to predict when geopolitical news erupts, the level of tension is lower – allowing for key data to have its say. This week's US figures are set to shape the Federal Reserve's decision next week – and the Bank of Japan may struggle to halt the Yen's deterioration.