Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/CHF 4H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: Although the quality of the pattern is poor, there is a high chance of EUR/CHF developing the ascending channel further. First, the currency pair is facing a solid demand area around 1.0840, created by the weekly S1, monthly PP, up-trend, and 200-period SMA. Secondly, the single currency is oversold, being that 72% of open positions are short, and therefore there is not much room for new bears to enter the market. At the same time, even though the signals are weak, the daily and weekly indicators are mostly pointing north. Accordingly, the base scenario is a rally from 1.0840 up to the October’s high at 1.0950. In case of a dip beneath the key support there should be a sell-off at least to 1.0770/55.
USD/SEK 4H Chart: Ascending Triangle
Comment: USD/SEK is currently struggling at 8.76, but eventually the bulls should be able to push through this resistance. The ascending triangle the pair is forming suggests that demand is building up, and a break-out to the upside is the likely resolution to the pattern, which developed after the Oct 15-Nov 6 advancement.
We therefore expect the price to close above 8.76 this week and start its journey towards 8.84, where the rate should meet the monthly R1 and August high. In the meantime, the main support is between 8.70 and 8.67, violation of which will expose the 200-period SMA and monthly S1 at 8.5800/8.5550.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
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