Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
AUD/SGD 4H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: AUD/SGD has once again confirmed topicality of the bullish channel by rebounding from the rising support line at 1.0230. The target is therefore the monthly R1 at 1.0318, but the rally is unlikely to stop there, it is expected to extend to the upper boundary of the pattern, namely to 1.04, where it is reinforced by the August high. However, we should not rule out a decline, being that the Australian Dollar is already overbought (73% of positions are long), and the technical indicators are only slightly bullish. A close beneath 1.0230 will invalidate the positive outlook, and the focus will then shift to 1.0150, where the monthly PP merges with the Nov 29 low and weekly S1 level.
GBP/NZD 4H Chart: Channel Down
Comment: Being unable to recover past 2.3660 GBP/NZD turned around and is now in a distinct down-trend. The current upward correction within the channel is to stop at 2.26 (weekly PP and falling resistance line) and to give way for a new bearish wave with the objective at 2.2150, a solid demand level created by the lower boundary of the channel together with the weekly S1 and monthly S2. Alternatively, should the currency pair surge through 2.26, there will be no significant resistances until 2.29 (weekly R1), and we may well see a test of the 200-period SMA, Nov 29 high and monthly pivot point. Meanwhile, the sentiment is bullish, being that 59% of open positions are long.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD hovers around 1.0700 after German IFO data
EUR/USD stays in a consolidation phase at around 1.0700 in the European session on Wednesday. Upbeat IFO sentiment data from Germany helps the Euro hold its ground as market focus shifts to US Durable Goods Orders data.
USD/JPY refreshes 34-year high, attacks 155.00 as intervention risks loom
USD/JPY is renewing a multi-decade high, closing in on 155.00. Traders turn cautious on heightened risks of Japan's FX intervention. Broad US Dollar rebound aids the upside in the major. US Durable Goods data are next on tap.
Gold price flat lines above $2,300 mark, looks to US macro data for fresh impetus
Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from over a two-week low – levels just below the $2,300 mark – and oscillates in a narrow range heading into the European session on Wednesday.
Worldcoin looks set for comeback despite Nvidia’s 22% crash Premium
Worldcoin price is in a better position than last week's and shows signs of a potential comeback. This development occurs amid the sharp decline in the valuation of the popular GPU manufacturer Nvidia.
Three fundamentals for the week: US GDP, BoJ and the Fed's favorite inflation gauge stand out Premium
While it is hard to predict when geopolitical news erupts, the level of tension is lower – allowing for key data to have its say. This week's US figures are set to shape the Federal Reserve's decision next week – and the Bank of Japan may struggle to halt the Yen's deterioration.