Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/TRY 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: The near-term outlook for EUR/TRY is positive, as the pair is currently trading near the lower trend-line of the bullish channel. Accordingly, we expect a rally from 3.2815 up to 3.3150 during the next few days. However, the longer-term recovery of the European currency is doubtful. The upside is limited by several tough resistances, including the weekly PP, 200-hour SMA and four-week down-trend, meaning the price should stay beneath 3.32 Turkish liras. At the same time, the daily technical indicators are mostly giving ‘sell’ signals, and the sentiment among the SWFX market participants is strongly negative, being that 71% of open positions are short.
EUR/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: The bias towards EUR/CAD is bullish. The currency pair has recently broken through the long-term moving average, and a majority of the technical studies is pointing north. However, we would like to see a close above the last week’s high to confirm the bullish outlook. The next target would then be the weekly R2 at 1.5020, followed by the weekly R3 and Sep high at 1.5150. On the other hand, violation of 1.4770 will imply a sell-off. First, down to the weekly PP at 1.4725, then to a solid support level at 1.46, represented by the Oct 15 low. As for the distribution between the bulls and bears, it is strongly skewed in favour of the latter, who take up 71% of the market.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.