Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
EUR/AUD 4H Chart: Channel Up
Comment: EUR/AUD appears to have formed a bullish channel, and there are plenty of other reasons why the currency pair is likely to rebound from 1.57. Apart from the fact that the price is now testing the rising support line, strong demand nearby is also implied by the monthly S1 and September low at 1.56. Moreover, most of the technical indicators in the daily and weekly charts are pointing upwards. Accordingly, the base case scenario is a rally from 1.57 up to 1.62, where the Euro is expected to meet the upper boundary of the pattern. At the same time, a dive under 1.56 will likely lead to an extension of the decline through the monthly S2 at 1.5280 and down to the August low at 1.47.
AUD/JPY 4H Chart: Triangle
Comment: The Aussie is expected to weaken not only against the Euro, but also against the Yen. AUD/JPY has just bumped into a falling resistance trend-line, which should trigger a sell-off. This line is also the upper boundary of a symmetrical triangle, which indicates a high possibility of major trend continuation, in this case—a break-out to the downside, through support at 83.40. The next objective will then be 79.40, the October 2012 low. Alternatively, should the price close above 86.30, there will still be a good opportunity for the bears to regain control of the situation at 87.50, the September low, while beyond this level the pair will probably target the August peak at 92.70.
This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD regains traction, recovers above 1.0700
EUR/USD regained its traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0700 in the American session. The US Dollar struggles to preserve its strength after the data from the US showed that the economy grew at a softer pace than expected in Q1.
GBP/USD returns to 1.2500 area in volatile session
GBP/USD reversed its direction and recovered to 1.2500 after falling to the 1.2450 area earlier in the day. Although markets remain risk-averse, the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the disappointing GDP data.
Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data
Gold fell below $2,320 in the early American session as US yields shot higher after the data showed a significant increase in the US GDP price deflator in Q1. With safe-haven flows dominating the markets, however, XAU/USD reversed its direction and rose above $2,340.
XRP extends its decline, crypto experts comment on Ripple stablecoin and benefits for XRP Ledger
Ripple extends decline to $0.52 on Thursday, wipes out weekly gains. Crypto expert asks Ripple CTO how the stablecoin will benefit the XRP Ledger and native token XRP.
After the US close, it’s the Tokyo CPI
After the US close, it’s the Tokyo CPI, a reliable indicator of the national number and then the BoJ policy announcement. Tokyo CPI ex food and energy in Japan was a rise to 2.90% in March from 2.50%.