EURUSD- strong bearish acceleration paused; rising daily 10SMA marks pivotal support

EURUSD

The Euro left long bearish candle yesterday, after bears from fresh 1.1712 high, accelerated and probed below psychological 1.13 support. The pair also broke and closed few ticks below 200SMA, currently at 1.1322 that gives another negative signal. Yesterday’s fall was contained at 1.1290, just above Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.1015/1.1712 upleg and daily Tenkan-sen / 10SMA at 1.1278/73 that reinforces this pivotal support zone, which is seen as ideal reversal point of corrective pullback from 1.1712 peak. Return above 200SMA is seen as initial positive signal, with extension above broken bear-trendline, currently at 1.1396, required to signal higher low formation and ease downside risk. However, daily Stochastic is still heading south and keeps in play risk of renewed attempts at pivotal 1.1270/90 support zone.

Res: 1.1396; 1.1451; 1.1500; 1.1551
Sup: 1.1322; 1.1290; 1.1273; 1.1212








GBPUSD

Near-term bullish structure is neutralized, as the pair fell sharply yesterday, leaving long red daily candle that marks the biggest daily loss since May 2015. Yesterday’s fall found temporary footstep at 1.5450, with focus at key 1.5423 support, low of 07 Aug, to complete 1.5423/1.5816 upleg. Violation of the latter, would trigger further weakness and expose next significant support at 1.5368, 200SMA. Daily indicators are entering negative territory, with setup of daily MA’s turning bearish and shifting near-term focus lower. Oversold near-term conditions suggest corrective action, with narrow daily Ichimoku cloud offering initial resistances at 1.5548/73 and extended rallies to be ideally capped at 1.56 zone, daily 20SMA / near 38.2% of 1.5816/1.5450 fall.

Res: 1.5500; 1.5548; 1.5573; 1.5600
Sup: 1.5450; 1.5423; 1.5400; 1.5368








USDJPY

The pair continues to move higher and looks for attack at the upper boundary of near-term consolidation range at 120.38, which is reinforced by daily Tenkan-sen line and followed by 200SMA at 120.69. Near-term price action is back above 120 handle, with bullishly aligned near-term technicals, seeing scope for eventual break above range’s top. The notion is supported by reversal of daily RSI / slow Stochastic from oversold zone. Hourly higher low at 118.90, marks initial support, ahead of pivotal 118.44, yesterday’s low and floor of near-term consolidation range. Repeated upside rejection, would signal prolonged sideways mode.

Res: 120.38; 120.69; 121.00; 121.78
Sup: 118.90; 118.44; 118.24; 117.78





AUDUSD

The pair holds in near-term directionless mode, confirmed by yesterday’s Doji. Extended consolidation above fresh multi-year low, is seen as favored near-term scenario, with limited upside attempts, seen preceding fresh bears, for final attack at psychological 0.7000 target, as overall structure remains firmly bearish. Falling daily 10SMA marks first pivot at 0.7260, ahead of 20SMA at 0.7306 and only sustained break would sideline immediate downside risk.

Res: 0.7150; 0.7212; 0.7260; 0.7306
Sup: 0.7097; 0.7068; 0.7036; 0.7000