Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,030, and a profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
The main U.S. stock market indexes were virtually flat on Wednesday, as investors hesitated following recent rally. The S&P 500 index remains close to its all-time high of 2,005.04, trading along the level of 2,000. The nearest important resistance level is at around 2,000-2,005. On the other hand, the level of support is at 1,980-1,990, marked by some of the recent local lows. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see negative divergences, accompanied by some technical overbought conditions:
Expectations before the opening of today’s session are negative, with index futures currently down 0.3%. The European stock market indexes have lost 0.4-0.8% so far. Investors will now wait for some economic data announcements: Initial Claims, GDP –Second Estimate at 8:30 a.m., Pending Home Sales at 10:00 a.m. The U.S. GDP figure will be closely watched as markets are expecting a confirmation of an economic rebound. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) is in a descending intraday channel, as it trades below the level of 2,000. The resistance level is at around 2,000, and the nearest important level of support is at 1,980-1,985, among others, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:
The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) is in an intraday downtrend, as it trades below the level of 4,080. The resistance level remains at 4,080-4,100, and the nearest important level of support is at around 4,050-4,060, as the 15-minute chart shows:
Concluding, the broad stock market remains close to its all-time high. There have been no confirmed uptrend reversal signals so far. However, we can see some negative technical divergences. We remain cautiously pessimistic, expecting a downward correction. Therefore, we continue to maintain our speculative short position (entry point at 2,000.5 - S&P 500 index). The stop-loss is at 2,030, and potential profit target at the level of 1,900 (S&P 500 index).
All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' employees and associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD holds above 0.6500 in thin trading
The Australian Dollar managed to recover ground against its American rival after AUD/USD fell to 0.6484. The upbeat tone of Wall Street underpinned the Aussie despite broad US Dollar strength and tepid Australian data.
EUR/USD comfortable below 1.0800 lower lows at sight
The EUR/USD pair lost ground on Thursday and settled near a fresh March low of 1.0774. Strong US data and hawkish Fed speakers comments lead the way ahead of the release of the US PCE Price Index on Friday.
Gold price finishes Thursday’s session set to reach new all-time highs
Gold price rallied during the North American session on Thursday and hit a new all-time high of $2,225 in the mid-North American session. Precious metal prices are trending higher even though US Treasury yields are advancing, underpinning the Greenback.
Bitcoin price extends retreat from $69K as old whales shift their holdings to new whales
Bitcoin price continues to move further away from the $69,000 threshold, gaining ground as BTC bulls hope for a retest of the $73,777 peak. This is because of the general assumption that clearing this blockade would set the tone for a reach higher, marking a new all-time high.
Bears have been standing before a steamroller so far this year
Despite a pushback on rate cuts from Christopher Waller, and what was supposed to be cautious trading sentiment ahead of critical US inflation data released later on Friday, the S&P 500 rose on Thursday, marking its best first-quarter performance in five years.