BETA - Propareos levels (areas where probabilities of price action reversal or saturation reach 90%; valid till 15:00 GMT):

  • EURUSD: 1.0955 -1.0970 on the upside, 1.0495-1.0510 on the downside.

  • AUDUSD: 0.7935-0.7950 on the upside, 0.7490- 0.7505 on the downside.

  • USDJPY: 119.60-119.75 on the upside, 117.65-117.80 on the downside.

  • GBPUSD: 1.5120-1.5135 on the upside, 1.4635-1.4650 on the downside.

  • USDCAD: 1.2580-1.2595 on the upside, 1.1935-1.1950 on the downside.

  • NZDUSD: 0.7770-0.7785 on the upside, 0.7455 - 0.7470 on the downside.

  • EURJPY: 129.75-129.90 on the upside, 125.50-125.65 on the downside.

  • EURGBP: 0.7255-0.7270 on the upside, 0.7135-0.7150 on the downside.

  • XAUUSD: 1225.00-1235.00 on the upside, 1155.00-1165.0 on the downside.

  • BRENT: 66.00-67.00 on the upside, 55.00-56.00 on the downside.

  • SP500: 2125.00-2135.00 on the upside, 2060.00-2070.00 on the downside.

Warning! Propareos levels do not take into account fundamental developments. Their validity is reduced on days when the NFP is released and when Central Banks change their interest rate.

Probabilities

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Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture, considering that the recent hawkish twist in the tone of the Fed might continue to push US long-term interest rates higher and put upward pressure on bond yields in the Eurozone.

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