BETA - Propareos levels (areas where probabilities of price action reversal or saturation reach 90%; valid till 15:00 GMT):

  • EURUSD: 1.1280 -1.1295 on the upside, 1.0965-1.0980 on the downside

  • AUDUSD: 0.7875-0.7890 on the upside, 0.7725- 0.7740 on the downside.

  • USDJPY: 120.30-120.45 on the upside, 118.30-118.45 on the downside

  • GBPUSD: 1.5535-1.5550 on the upside, 1.5140-1.5155 on the downside..

  • USDCAD: 1.2580-1.2595 on the upside, 1.2345-1.2360 on the downside.

  • NZDUSD: 0.7640-0.7655 on the upside, 0.7400 - 0.7415 on the downside.

  • EURJPY: 135.30-135.00 on the upside, 131.40-131.55 on the downside.

  • EURGBP: 0.7305-0.7320 on the upside, 0.7180-0.7195 on the downside.

  • XAUUSD: 1225.00-1235.00 on the upside, 1170.00-1180.0 on the downside.

  • BRENT: 63.00-64.00 on the upside, 56.0-57.00 on the downside.

  • SP500: 2125.00-2135.00 on the upside, 2070.00-2080.00 on the downside.

Warning! Propareos levels do not take into account fundamental developments. Their validity is reduced on days when the NFP is released and when Central Banks change their interest rate.

Probabilities

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AUD/USD could extend the recovery to 0.6500 and above

AUD/USD could extend the recovery to 0.6500 and above

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EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

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Gold struggles around $2,325 despite broad US Dollar’s weakness

Gold struggles around $2,325 despite broad US Dollar’s weakness

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Bitcoin price makes run for previous cycle highs as Morgan Stanley pushes BTC ETF exposure

Bitcoin price makes run for previous cycle highs as Morgan Stanley pushes BTC ETF exposure

Bitcoin (BTC) price strength continues to grow, three days after the fourth halving. Optimism continues to abound in the market as Bitcoiners envision a reclamation of previous cycle highs.

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US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture, considering that the recent hawkish twist in the tone of the Federal Reserve might continue to push US long-term interest rates higher and put upward pressure on bond yields in the Eurozone. 

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