Yesterday saw the equity markets head higher, giving market-watchers a clue as to how the City felt the Scottish referendum voting would go. Now that any last uncertainty has been removed, Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds and Standard Life have shot out of the blocks. A lack of corporate and economic news out today means that it will be interesting to see how much conviction this relief rally really has. Not gaining as many headlines, the mining sector has taken some of the froth off this morning’s moves as commodity prices continue to drift lower following the less-than-anticipated Chinese stimulus.
Asian markets were always going to have first shot at assessing the implications of the referendum on the pound, and overnight trading saw GBP/USD add another 100 pips to yesterday’s move. Although worries that the Bank of England’s timeline for interest rate rises have now lifted, the likelihood of major changes to the constitutional structure of the United Kingdom remain an iceberg on sterling’s radar.
Starting its trading life on the New York Stock Exchange today, Alibaba will take over the mantle as the largest US IPO. IG’s IPO market on Alibaba has seen a 28% premium being added to the $68 IPO price that Jack Ma and his advisers settled on last night. Considering this is a company that will start trading with earnings multiple of 44, it will have to hit the ground running in order to match its hype.
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EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.